Pakistan and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Week
In the run up to elections this spring, the complicated power struggle between Pakistan's politicians, judiciary, and military has erupted, resulting in the judiciary issuing an arrest warrant for the prime minister and the military perhaps backing a huge protest demanding the government's dissolution. If Pakistan's elected government weathers the storm, it will become the country's first to complete a full term in office -- a feat that might not be as impossible as it seems.
JAHANZEB ASLAM is deputy editor of Newsweek Pakistan.
Compared to the political drama surrounding "Memogate" a few months ago, politics in Pakistan have become almost mundane. If things continue at this rate, the current administration could be the first ever to complete a full term -- a major victory for democracy.
A man reacts to falling share prices at the Karachi Stock Exchange. (Akhtar Soomro / Courtesy Reuters)
It arrived three weeks later than the Mayans predicted, but for Pakistan, the last week has seemed like the apocalypse. On January 10, following the country's worst-ever sectarian attack, which killed 92 Shias in Baluchistan, protestors nation wide organized sit-ins to demand a greater security presence in the province and a dissolution of the provincial government, which had dragged its feet on curbing violence despite the deaths of some 100 Shia in 2012. Several days later, on the 14th, Islamabad met both of those demands but refused to take action against the extremist group Lashkar-e-Jhangvi group, which claimed responsibility for the attack.
The following day started with an early-morning scuffle between protesters and the police in Islamabad, leaving eight injured. Just as things seemed to calm down, thousands began to gather for an afternoon rally in which the country's latest self-appointed savior -- the Canadian-Pakistani cleric Muhammed Tahir ul-Qadri -- promised to unveil his manifesto. Capitalizing on the still-tense situation, Qadri descended on the capital with a convoy of thousands. Police were on alert, and a bulletproof box awaited the speaker.
In his oration, Qadri demanded the dissolution of the entire Pakistani parliament and all its provincial assemblies, the announcement of a new caretaker government, and the introduction of electoral reforms, including the creation of an independent election commission that would ensure free and fair elections. In a terrifying display of his strength, Qadri ordered his followers to push aside barriers surrounding D-Chowk, the square in front of the parliament, and set up camp in what he designated "Pakistan's Tahrir Square." As Pakistanis held their breath for his next move, the Supreme Court struck...
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Beyond its implications for religion and free speech, Pakistan's recent ban on Facebook holds a deeper story -- that of the country's changing power structure and the shifting roles of its three institutional pillars: the government, the judiciary, and the military.
Cuts or increases in U.S. civilian and military aid will not alter Islamabad's political calculus -- and Washington should stop expecting them to. Nevertheless, it should stay engaged with the country if only to protect its major regional strategic interests.
Renewed efforts to work with Pakistan's people and politicians -- through professional exchanges, training programs, and increased trade -- will eventually bear fruit, stabilizing the country and empowering civilians to exert control over security and foreign policy.
