China's Entry Into the World Economy
A leading American specialist on the Chinese economy assesses the dramatic economic reforms in post-Mao China and their implications for U.S. policy in the region. He concludes that China's new trade and investment policies have led to increased regional economic integration in Northeast Asia and have contributed to the overall economic dynamism of the Pacific region. But he is doubtful that China will be able to continue its rapid growth of trade without a more far-reaching reform in industry. And he also believes it unlikely that China's rapidly growing trade with Taiwan, South Korea and the Soviet Union can be sustained without some progress in resolving political differences.
Related
US hostility against Japan stems not from any specific arguments about the trade deficit, or direct investment, or burden-sharing, but from an national loss of self-confidence about economic competitiveness.
No, it is not a silly question -- merely one that is not asked often enough. Odd as it may seem, the country that is home to a fifth of humankind is consistently overrated as an economy, a world power, and a source of ideas. Economically, China is a relatively unimportant small market; militarily, it is less a global rival like the Soviet Union than a regional menace like Iraq; and politically, its influence is puny. The Middle Kingdom is a middle power. China matters far less than it and most of the West think, and it is high time the West began treating it as such.
For over half a century Japan and Germany have been at the heart of America's international preoccupations. After a long and destructive war against both countries, the United States worked exhaustively to help its two erstwhile enemies recover and build democratic societies secure under the American defense umbrella. From the late 1960s to the mid-1980s, victor and vanquished moved to a more balanced relationship, especially in trade and finance. Today, in one of history's great role reversals, Tokyo and Bonn have become Washington's fierce trading rivals and also its primary bankers.

Sign-up for free weekly updates from ForeignAffairs.com.