The Rise Of The Phoenix: The United States In A Restructured World Economy
After a trenchant sketch of the reasons for the decline in American competitiveness that blames business as well as the government, Professor Behrman of the University of North Carolina argues that there have to be new rules for world trade and investment. The old ones broke down because they did not provide what many countries regarded as an equitable distribution of benefits. The way out is not through new global rules, but by a series of regional and sectoral arrangements for relatively free trade based on something like an agreed allocation of production; the structure of investments is to be worked out by multinational corporations and local suppliers. The novelty and difficulty of some parts of this prescription will remind readers that the phoenix is a fabled bird.
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An economic bnoom is underway in China, and the United States is in danger of isolating itself from the benefits. A forward-looking policy would not only offer tremendous opportunity for American investment,trade and jobs, but it could also be a force for political moderation in Beijing.
American political and business leaders need to capitalize on a groundswell of democratic and market-opriented reforms underway in this oft-neglected region in the world. "Washington must discard its Cold War approach to relations with south Asia and stop viewing the region primarily in terms of its potential threat to U.S. interests"; a rapidly growing south Asian middle-class is creating one of the "world's most important emerging markets" and bolstering regional stability.
U.S. trade policy is adrift and under siege. America's traditional commitment to open markets is now buffeted by both left and right, from labor unions and environmentalists to big business and "America First" isolationists. Fortunately, the advent of the World Trade Organization offers Washington a chance to balance the protectionist threat. If the United States cooperates with the WTO to settle trade disputes multilaterally, it can dilute both protectionist pressure at home and anti-American resentment abroad. But robust leadership and commitment will be needed, and neither Congress nor President Clinton seems up to the task.
