The Strategic Defense Initiative: Its Implications For Asia And The Pacific
This collection originated in a conference in South Korea convened to discuss the implications of SDI for the Asia-Pacific region. Few of the essays have much worthwhile to say on the subject. However, one probing essay by Bonnie S. Glaser and Banning N. Garrett on the Chinese reaction says that the Chinese believe that SDI has contributed to a shift in the balance of power in favor of the U.S. Moscow's preoccupation with the American technological challenge has increased the incentive for the Soviet Union to improve relations with China as well as with Japan, Western Europe and the United States. Beijing sees a "window of opportunity" for China during the next 15 years in which the balance of power will continue to favor the U.S. and provide a peaceful international environment. During this period, the Chinese predict that the Soviets will refrain from launching a new round of expansionist activity.
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India's and Pakistan's nuclear tests last May were a double setback: for security on the subcontinent and worldwide nonproliferation efforts. U.S. attempts to forge warmer relations with both countries were also casualties of the blasts. The tests could spark a chain of withdrawals from the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty, undermining the international consensus against the spread of nuclear arms. Cold War brinkmanship is no model for diplomacy. For their sake as well as the world's, India and Pakistan need to stabilize their nuclear rivalry at the lowest possible level, ban further tests, and embrace frequent, high-level bilateral talks to ease tensions.
Americans see the presence of U.S. troops in Japan as a gracious favor. Well, it's time for the Americans to go home.
Just as Asia began asserting itself economically in the 1960s and 1970s, it now does so militarily. The rise of Asian military power ushers in a new age in which Western interference in Asia will prove far more treacherous and costly than ever. For the first time in modern history, Asia has the power to shape its future -- for better or worse.

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