Expresses scepticism at the notions of (1) any "fundamental re-orientation of Soviet global purposes" (2) defensive doctrine, calling for "survival ICBMs". Proposes appropriate basing modes either with or without superpower arms agreement since "deterrence ... remains the most cost-effective, stable and militarily sensible way to avoid nuclear war and lower-order aggression in Europe". US national security adviser, 1983-1985.
Robert C. McFarlane was National Security Adviser to President Reagan (1983-85); he is currently a Counselor at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, D.C. Copyright © 1988 by Robert C. McFarlane.
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"The INF treaty singles out for elimination all land-based missiles of a specified range". Gives the background to the treaty from 1979. In effect it resulted from the USSR calling Reagan's bluff on his zero-option proposal of 1981. The consequence is that the West is on the defensive, lacking a coherent approach and compelled to proceed on the basis of its present policy. The lesson of the treaty is therefore for the West to define its long-term objectives, and the roles of the USA and Western Europe within them. US deputy assistant secretary for defense (policy plans), 1977-81.
What wise men had promised has not happened. What the damned fools predicted has actually come to pass," exclaimed Lord Melbourne during one of the British politician's fits of exasperation over the situation in Ireland. Well, viewing the post-World War II course of Soviet-American relations, one is tempted to echo the nineteenth-century statesman's sentiments.
Reviews recent US public opinion poll evidence on relations with USSR and security issues, finding a cautious attitude, stressing verification and other means of testing Soviet 'good faith'. Americans believe that (1) Gorbachev seeks "to change... the very character of the Soviet Union" (2) the nuclear threat from a (hypothetical) terrorist group or Third World power is greater than that from the USSR (3) today's greatest challenges (including pollution, terrorism, over-population and trade) "are no longer East-West in nature but global".
