The Assault on Agricultural Protectionism
Buffeted by drought and protectionism, agriculture is emerging as a key issue in the politics of international trade. Because international agriculture cannot be divorced from domestic farm programs, foreign trade officials and others in the diplomatic community are being forced to confront issues beyond their normal purview. "I sit there talking about soybeans," lamented Italian Foreign Minister Guilio Andreotti during an interminable debate with his European partners, "and I don't even know what the miserable things look like."
Carlisle Ford Runge served in 1987-88 as Special Assistant to the U.S. Ambassador to GATT in Geneva, under the sponsorship of the Council on Foreign Relations. He is Associate Professor of Agricultural and Applied Economics at the University of Minnesota, where he is also Adjunct Professor at the Hubert H. Humphrey Institute of Public Affairs. All views expressed are those of the author.
Buffeted by drought and protectionism, agriculture is emerging as a key issue in the politics of international trade. Because international agriculture cannot be divorced from domestic farm programs, foreign trade officials and others in the diplomatic community are being forced to confront issues beyond their normal purview. "I sit there talking about soybeans," lamented Italian Foreign Minister Guilio Andreotti during an interminable debate with his European partners, "and I don’t even know what the miserable things look like."
The complex nature of agricultural protectionism has long served as a barrier to popular and political understanding—a state of affairs useful to the special interests that benefit the most from this protection. The inconsistencies, inefficiencies and inequities that riddle farm policies have usually been of interest only to a relatively small group of specialists. As President Kennedy reputedly told his principal agricultural policy adviser: "I don’t want to hear about agriculture from anyone but you. . . . Come to think of it, I don’t want to hear about it from you either."
As long as the costs of farm programs were low and foreign markets for surpluses were growing, politicians and economists could afford these short attention spans. But in the mid-1980s budget costs for agriculture rose dramatically in both the United States and Europe. Shrinking foreign demand led to falling farm incomes, yet price support programs continued to pay farmers far more than the market for their products. In recent years on each side of the Atlantic these costs soared to over $25 billion annually, but even such massive programs have failed to prevent a record number of farm bankruptcies. In a desperate attempt to unload surplus production, export subsidies have been used to dump grain and other agricultural commodities on the world market, lowering prices and threatening a global trade war.
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Not for the first time, agricultural trade has become a live and contentious issue in Atlantic relations. Questions of access and protection have been subjects of constant concern to American farmers and traders since the establishment of Europe's Common Agricultural Policy 25 years ago. Now, though, under the pressures of surplus stocks of grain and falling farm incomes, there is a new area of contention--competitive subsidies designed to win or ensure shares in an erratic world market. Months of negotiation have failed to resolve the issue and neither the European Community nor the United States has shown any sign of being ready to sacrifice what both define as legitimate economic interests.
In recent years, the strong American recovery in overall production and employment has been accompanied by further deterioration in the merchandise trade of the United States with other countries. The reasons for focusing on American merchandise trade are not merely parochial; it is important for Europeans and others to understand that this poor trade performance of the United States reflects a disequilibrium in the world economy as well as in the American domestic economy. Political strains in many countries have been the inevitable result. The promises made at last year's Williamsburg Summit with regard to international trade and finance have not been fulfilled. If anything, international tensions arising from economic issues have increased during the past year.
The United States recently "discovered" Mexico. Potential oil reserves of 200 billion barrels helped focus our attention and sparked interest in forging some kind of special relationship with our southern neighbor. Concrete proposals range from a North American Accord or Common Market to less dramatic package deals that would swap petroleum for increased Mexican access to U.S. markets.

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