American Foreign Policy: The Bush Agenda
Begins with a hard-hitting description of Gorbachev as a cold and calculating realist, intent on invigorating the Soviet political and economic system. Warns against the illusion that the West can influence internal developments in the USSR, then discusses (1) Europe's renewed role in the East-West conflict (2) arms control (3) Bush's need to address the issues of Afghanistan and Central America. In particular, argues that NATO must maintain a residual tactical nuclear capability in Europe, and that arms control should be treated as only one part of Western defence policy. Calls for a 'revitalizing' of the Western alliance. Former US president.
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Site of post-WW2 tensions, Berlin now finds itself relegated to the margin of political and economic change across Europe. Even the FRG is showing less and less interest in Berlin's future. Nevertheless, NATO should not ignore it, but include it in a new vision for FRG-GDR relations and the ending of the division of Europe.
The problem of including medium-range nuclear missiles in an eventual SALT III negotiation is bound to become, in the coming months and probably years, one of the basic issues between the Western nations and the Soviet Union on the one hand, and within the Atlantic Alliance on the other, as well as a problem of internal policy for a good many European nations.
In the light of the anticipated INF agreement the question is whether confrontation is entering a genuine phase of de-escalation or merely a tactical one. Most NATO commanders agree that a surprise attack by conventional Soviet forces is improbable. NATO should develop a plan for exploiting the potential for reductions in conventional weapons and make a serious effort to achieve an agreement. There may be room for trade-offs in economic credits and managerial skills for large-scale Soviet force reductions.
