Beyond Globalism: Remaking American Foreign Economic Policy
The opening chapter of this interesting book is a masterful account of the changes in American foreign economic policy-and the world economy-since World War II. The following sections on trade, money, aid and multinationals are comprehensive but involve selectivity, which will draw a few dissents from those who stress different interpretations and facts. Professor Vernon and Ms. Spar are realistically gloomy about the prospects of international cooperation just when it is more needed than ever. They believe that what cannot be achieved by wide agreement must be sought by smaller combinations of countries-but we are not told who should try to do what. Since in the American system "it is pointless to attempt explaining any sequence of actions as if it resulted from the deliberations of a rational unitary actor," the book's recommendations stress methods of making policy rather than its content, which is disappointing. Among the most original of the many shrewd observations are those concerning "policy entrepreneurs" who appear from time to time in the executive branch and get things done in spite of the checks and balances that confuse the system-but they are not to be relied on as much in the future.
Related
The 1930s deserve their bad reputation. Unemployment, misery, for many people hunger and, for more, the lack of hope, went with all the other ills of the Great Depression. Then Hitler came to power and fascism around the world grew stronger. The invasions of China by Japan and Ethiopia by Italy, and the Franco rebellion in Spain that soon came to be seen as a kind of global civil war--all showed the way the world was going. Driven by economic pressures, the policies of democratic countries became more narrowly nationalistic; bilateral and preferential trade agreements increased and France, Britain and Holland did what they could to assert privileged positions in their colonies. Although the Soviet Union was hardly a worker's paradise, the very fact that it offered an alternative to collapsed capitalism stirred people's interest and the Kremlin had new cards to play with. The worried democracies, meanwhile, did little to check the rising strength of fascism and were led to make one concession after another. If the times had any redeeming feature, it was that they made people think.
After September 11, the world risks being squeezed between a new Scylla and Charybdis. On one side, America is tempted to launch a dangerous, unilateral mission of robust intervention. But the alternative -- resignation to fresh terrorist attacks and oblivion to the security threats posed by globalization -- is no better.
The next annual economic summit is scheduled to be held in Bonn in May 1985. What follows is a more or less fanciful account of its proceedings--not a prediction of the eventual reality, but a depiction of where present domestic and international economic trends are leading. Foremost among these trends is the growth of the U.S. trade and budget deficits. Conceivably, by next May, the actors at the Bonn Summit will have seen signs that these deficits are being reduced. More likely they will not, and the Summit will open in full awareness of the dangers that these deficits pose to the global economy.

Sign-up for free weekly updates from ForeignAffairs.com.