Somoza Falling
The director of the State Department's Policy Planning staff during the Carter Administration, Anthony Lake provides a highly readable and illuminating account of the way the U.S. foreign policy machinery responded to the fall of Nicaraguan strongman Anastasio Somoza during 1978 and the first seven months of 1979. Emphasizing how foreign policy decisions are shaped by incomplete information, limited time, domestic political pressures to compromise and the decision-makers' inadequate grasp of the relevant history, Lake reminds us that a small country which became the obsessive focus of President Reagan's foreign policy in the 1980s was mostly ignored during the crucial months in 1978-79 when greater attention and creativity by U.S. policymakers might have made an important difference.
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Uses the example of Nicaragua to argue for selective containment of Soviet expansion and influence under the 'Reagan doctrine'. The Contras should be supported.
A few days after Ronald Reagan was elected President in 1980, U.S. Ambassador to Nicaragua Lawrence Pezzullo gave a long interview in his Managua office. "It's going to be our ideological blinders that may cause us to make mistakes," Pezzullo said, as he considered Central America policy under the new President. "This is a new Administration, there are going to be tradeoffs, and you've got to feed your right-wing somewhere. Maybe you'll just let them eat up Latin America. It's cheaper than some other places like the Middle East, the Soviet Union or China, where no president is going to have much room for radical policy changes." He paused and reflected for a moment. "That's the way I tend to think things will go," he said, "just feed it to the lions."
Gives details of both US and regional (Arias) initiatives for peace in Nicaragua, with a pessimistic view of the contras' ability to win either the war or an election. Considers US material support for contras to be 'virtually finished', and thus advocates a 'second-best solution' of containment of Sandinistas, by providing a non-intervention guarantee, and seeking democratization of Nicaragua. A slightly misleading title, since almost all the article is taken up with the war in Nicaragua and US involvement, with only a brief reference to El Salvador.
