In my frequent visits to the United States these days, I am asked most insistently two questions about Europe: "What will happen in 1992?" and "Can a united European market work?" Many Americans are either skeptical about the future of Europe or nervous about it. Some predict that when put to the test a united Europe will quickly splinter under national and local political pressures. Others fear that Europeans will drop their internal trade barriers only to erect a higher new external wall, creating a kind of "Fortress Europe."
Giovanni Agnelli is chairman of Fiat, s.p.a., of Turin, Italy.
In my frequent visits to the United States these days, I am asked most insistently two questions about Europe: "What will happen in 1992?" and "Can a united European market work?" Many Americans are either skeptical about the future of Europe or nervous about it. Some predict that when put to the test a united Europe will quickly splinter under national and local political pressures. Others fear that Europeans will drop their internal trade barriers only to erect a higher new external wall, creating a kind of "Fortress Europe."
I have reason to believe that neither of these doomsday scenarios will come to pass. My hope is not mere irrational optimism, but is rooted firmly in the history of the last forty years. Who would have believed that the very same nations that twice in this century nearly destroyed each other would be as closely united as they are now? If we are able to travel a similar distance in the next forty years, a truly united Europe is well within our grasp.
When I think of the progress we have made, I always remember the first trip I made to America in 1939-perhaps the most important journey of my life. Eighteen years old, having just graduated from high school, I was sent by my grandfather to learn as much as possible about the United States and the Detroit auto industry.
The world was so much larger and more divided then. My ocean voyage took four days; now such an excursion takes four hours by plane (and is often made entirely unnecessary by the multitude of electronic ties that bind us). The cultural distance was even greater than the physical divide. I felt then that I had left behind a small and badly split Europe, on the brink of war, and arrived in a country that was the world's center of finance and industry-and yet viewed itself as politically isolated from the rest of the globe.
At the time of that first trip, Italy was a small, largely agricultural nation and Fiat was almost exclusively an Italian company. Now Italy has grown into the world's fifth-largest industrial nation, and Fiat-the 34th-largest corporation in the world-is the largest in Europe and is traded on the New York, London and Frankfurt stock exchanges. My belief in the possibility-indeed the necessity-of a united European market comes directly out of this increasingly internationalized experience.
II
This is a premium article
You must be a logged in Foreign Affairs subscriber to continue reading. If you wish to continue reading this article please subscribe , or activate your online account to get full online access.
Log In
Buy PDF
Buy a premium PDF reprint of this article.Related
Markets are reeling because Europe's leaders have only offered up half-measures to resolve the crisis. Not until Brussels, Paris, and Berlin realize the fundamental flaw in their current approach -- a lack of real political and economic integration across the eurozone -- will there be an end in sight.
The recent G-20 meeting in Toronto ended with the world's largest economies promising to cut deficit spending. But such a course is unwise and unlikely to lead to growth -- it is time for finance ministers to take on the speculators who are calling for retrenchment.
America's economy is in its eighth year of sustained growth, transcending the German and Japanese "miracles." This is no fluke. America's unique brand of entrepreneurial capitalism is based on a series of advantages that explain the stunning success of the 1990s and provide the basis for extending this winning streak. These strengths include deft managers, technological innovation, and a culture that values rugged individualism -- all fueled by finance capital that can nimbly meet the needs of a globalized, rapidly changing economy. Furthermore, the era of the deficit is over. Pessimists who warn of inflation should be ignored; American business leaders understand that today's low level of inflation is self-perpetuating. America's prosperity is structural, not transient, and its lead over Europe and Asia will only widen with time. America had the twentieth century. It will also have the twenty-first.

Sign-up for free weekly updates from ForeignAffairs.com.