The Superpowers And The Syrian-Israeli Conflict
During the period of intense superpower rivalry in the Middle East from 1978 to 1989, the phenomenon of the "tail wagging the dog" was very much evident in relations between the Soviet Union and its client, Syria, and the United States and its client, Israel. In both cases, the two clients extracted a great deal of military and economic aid while returning little in the way of political obedience. Cobban expertly analyzes the two superpowers and their clients. While her analysis of the limits of U.S.-Israeli "strategic cooperation" will not make partisans of Israel happy, she makes a number of very persuasive points.
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The 1973 War has had an enormous impact on all the complex of factors that enter into the Arab-Israeli conflict. The study of these changes will take many years and many hands. In this article, an attempt is made to examine that impact in several areas that seem to have a particular bearing on the immediate future.
Rather than discuss the day-to-day tactics of all the governments involved in or formulating concrete proposals for the solution of the various detailed issues, I should like, in this article, to look at the problem of the Middle East from a larger historical point of view. Too many proposals have been made already and are being made daily. Nearly every Israeli minister and general has ideas of his own-which they tend to publicize-and I am sure that in the foreign ministries of the various powers involved, especially in Washington, committees of experts, planning groups and the like are working on all kinds of schemes covering possible eventualities. What seems to me most important, however, is to examine the deeper motivations which brought about the present very difficult situation.
Damascus did not commission Hezbollah's raid into Israel, but it did see the ensuing crisis as a chance to prove its importance. Western powers should realize that Syria is ready to be part of a regional solution -- as long as its own interests are recognized.
