Foreign Trade And Economic Reform In China, 1978-1990
This is an excellent companion volume to the one above. It is the first comprehensive analysis by an economist of how China has emerged since 1978 as one of the largest trading nations and with the world's fastest-growing economy in the 1980s. Lardy places China's trade policy in a stimulating context. After World War II developing countries faced two basic alternatives in trade policy: an outward-oriented strategy that sought to link the domestic economy with the globe's in order to foster industrialization; or an inward-oriented strategy that sought to spur industrialization through stiff protection and replacement of imports with domestically produced manufactures. China followed the inward strategy until the 1970s; then it embarked on a strategy of trade liberalization. The contrast in the results has been stunning. By liberalizing trade China became the 13th largest exporting country in the world, its economic growth rates increased by more than half and the Chinese standard of living rose substantially. Lardy concludes with suggestions as to how China's experience may be relevant to both eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union.
Related
Soviet options in East Asia are limited by the USSR's lack of economic influence, but Gorbachev's new flexible diplomacy has led to limited advances. Discusses current relations with China, Japan, and the two Koreas, noting that influence in the Pacific region's economy is likely to be marginal for the next few decades. Concludes that prospects are good for a reduction in tension in the region.
The logic of free trade does not apply to currency convertibility, as the Asian currency crisis should have made clear.
Conventional wisdom claims that Japan's "economic miracle" stemmed from its unique model of government guidance and its revolutionary corporate management techniques. An in-depth study proves this seriously wrong. Rampant government intervention has caused more business failures than successes, and a fundamental cautiousness has led Japanese companies to ignore strategic thinking and shun risk. To pull out of its current slump, Japan must embrace competition, innovation, and bold leadership.
