North American Free Trade
This very comprehensive study serves as an excellent handbook for the Mexican-Canadian-U.S. negotiations looking toward some kind of free trade area. It provides fairly detailed estimates of possible effects on jobs, trade and other matters. More important it describes all the major issues (with special attention to the Mexican aspects) and makes quite concrete recommendations for dealing with the difficulties they present. There is some discussion of the relations of the negotiations to the interests of other countries and world trading arrangements. The authors, who have done much work in related fields, conclude that a North American Free Trade Agreement "should produce an improved, trilateral version of the Canadian-U.S. agreement" and serve "as a model of future trade pacts both regionally and multilaterally."
Related
The Salinas regime has ardently pursued the North American Free Trade Agreement as a silver bullet to kill myriad political and economic problems. But NAFTA as it stands would exacerbate many of Mexico's enduring disparities and injustices. Short term adjustment costs and the possibility of backsliding on political reform have largely been overlooked. NAFTA must be designed to contribute to political reform. Otherwise, postponing the accord would not weaken Mexico-only Salinas.
California is the most populous state in the United States. Its gross economic product is seventh in the world, well ahead of China or Canada. Given its massive size and the fact that the export-driven sector is the only part of its economy that shows any potential for long-term growth, California is increasingly adopting its own foreign policy. In turn international economic trends are having strong regional effects from San Diego to San Francisco. At the center of this new interdependence lies the North American Free Trade Agreement and the pivotal bilateral tie between Mexico and California.
With so many players involved, the eagerly anticipated Free Trade Area of the Americas is likely to wind up a shallow project. A better way to jump-start hemispheric integration would be to expand NAFTA to the Southern Cone -- enhancing prosperity, security, and democracy throughout South America.

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