Dynamics of Regional Politics: Four Systems on the Indian Ocean Rim
This study of the political and security dynamics in four regions--the Persian Gulf, South Asia, the Horn of Africa and Southeast Asia--is innovative and will serve as a model of comparative regional analysis. Editor and contributor Howard Wriggins and his colleagues carefully craft questions regarding the interactive processes within regional systems, the impact of domestic politics on foreign policy behavior and the role of major outside powers. The excellent chapters on each of the regions are detailed and sophisticated in their analysis. The resulting conclusions stress the embedded cleavages within each region and the deep contrasts among the systems while identifying some common characteristics. In many ways, the end of the constraints imposed by the Cold War is uncovering the underlying historical and cultural differences among these regions. The combination of speculative hypotheses and realism to be found in this knowledgeable work enhances its credibility and should give it long-term value.
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A Great deal of information has been published about the military strategy and forces of the People's Republic of China, some through official Chinese publications, much more through the writings of Western analysts. Most of this information concerns China's massive ground forces, with a respectable amount of coverage given to her air arm and even to her nascent nuclear missile forces. What about China's navy? "Didn't know they had one," is the derisive response one is most likely to receive.
There is no "China threat," not because China is a benign giant but because it is too weak to challenge the balance of power. China can damage U.S. interests, but it does not require containment. The most striking aspect of Chinese foreign policy is its effort to promote stability. Indeed, China is easier to deal with today than ever before. The United States needs a policy to contend with China's ability to destabilize Asia, not a policy to deal with a future hegemon. China is a revisionist power, but for the foreseeable future it will seek to maintain the status quo-and so should the United States.
Pacific powers would like Korea to reunify slowly, but the North is soon likely to implode, its economy deteriorating as its weapons of mass destruction accumulate. Rapid reunification would spur economic growth, as in Germany, and reduce regional tensions. South Korea's liberalization of its own economy and strengthening of its civic institutions will prepare it to assist the North. China and Russia may not go along, but Western governments should stop coddling Pyongyang. America should underwrite a united Korea's security, and Japan its finances.
