The Proliferation of Advanced Weaponry: Technology, Motivations and Responses
A collection of papers prepared for the 1992 meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, this volume has two particular strengths. It covers a wide range of technologies, including biological, ballistic and advanced conventional arms, as well as nuclear weapons. Second, more than the usual emphasis is given to arms proliferation by developing countries. Some of the more interesting contributions are written by specialists from India, Pakistan, Israel and China. There are also some timely chapters on implications for American nonproliferation policy.
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The reelection of Ronald Reagan makes the future of his Strategic Defense Initiative the most important question of nuclear arms competition and arms control on the national agenda since 1972. The President is strongly committed to this program, and senior officials, including Secretary of Defense Caspar W. Weinberger, have made it clear that he plans to intensify this effort in his second term. Sharing the gravest reservations about this undertaking, and believing that unless it is radically constrained during the next four years it will bring vast new costs and dangers to our country and to mankind, we think it urgent to offer an assessment of the nature and hazards of this initiative, to call for the closest vigilance by Congress and the public, and even to invite the victorious President to reconsider. While we write only after obtaining the best technical advice we could find, our central concerns are political. We believe the President_s initiative to be a classic case of good intentions that will have bad results because they do not respect reality.
The Bush administration claims national missile defense can protect the United States from long-range missiles fired by rogue states. But that threat is trivial, and Washington's unilateralist approach to missile defense will only anger China and Russia while alienating U.S. allies.
