The Political Economy of Foreign Investment in Mexico: Nationalism, Liberalism, Constraints on Choice
This well-documented study, based on extensive interviews and field research, analyzes why Mexico pursued nationalist policies toward foreign investment through the 1970s, made them more extreme during that decade, and then turned so decisively to economic liberalization in the 1980s, welcoming foreign investment and pushing for free trade with the United States. Whiting's answer, sometimes obscured by social science jargon, is that the same global trends toward industrial integration now pushing the United States toward industrial policy and managed trade have shifted constraints within Mexico toward more liberal and internationalist policies. Free trade with the United States, which threatened Mexico's autonomy only a decade ago, is now in Mexico's interest--even if nationalists in the United States object.
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U.S. and Mexican policymakers are rushing to resolve long-standing immigration problems. Guest worker programs are on the table, but the negotiators show a troublesome myopia about the programs' implications. The supposed economic benefits of such programs may prove illusory, and the "guests" may in fact come to stay.
The United States is spreading its aid and efforts too thin in the developing world. It should focus on a small number of "pivotal states": countries whose fate determines the survival and success of the surrounding region and ultimately the stability of the international system. The list should include Mexico, Brazil, Algeria, Egypt, South Africa, Turkey, India, Pakistan, and Indonesia. A discriminating strategy for shoring up the developing world is a wise way to address traditional security threats and new transnational issues; it might be thought of as the new, improved domino theory. If effective, it could forestall the move in Congress to wipe out nearly all foreign aid.
The U.S.-led effort to revive the peso staved off a Great Depression in Mexico. The Mexican economy is turning the corner and paying off its debt to the United States. Mexico was not broke last year; it faced a liquidity crisis. Clinton's action ensured that economic reform in Mexico--and other developing nations--continues.

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