Mandate Of Heaven: A New Generation of Entrepreneurs, Dissidents, Bohemians, and Technocrats Lays Claim to China's Future
Orville Schell has won many awards for his previous books about China, and this is one of his best. It explores the many contradictions and paradoxes in China, where the greatest economic boom in history is confined by a political straitjacket -- what some describe as "gulag capitalism."
Schell is skeptical about the prospects for continued stability. It is difficult to imagine, he says, "how a system with such internal inconsistencies could long contain itself, especially when it [is] in such a dynamic state of unbalanced change."
Schell also warns about the dangers of China's mounting social problems -- unemployment, inflation, rural instability, and, most of all, corruption. "By 1994 it was almost impossible to do anything without using influence, presenting gifts, dispensing favors, or proffering bribes," he writes. "With official position being regularly used as another means to riches, scandals -- some of them grand in scale -- erupted with increasing frequency."
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Kenneth Lieberthal's encyclopedic survey of the People's Republic bets the Communist Party can keep the lid on the country's political discontent, but a billion increasingly affluent Chinese may be getting other ideas.
After 28 years of reform, China now faces accelerating challenges of an unprecedented scale. Of these, none is more critical -- or more daunting -- than nurturing a new generation of leaders who are skilled, honest, committed to public service, and accountable. Without them, Beijing's public promises of a prosperous, democratic future will go unfulfilled.
The United States has done much to enable China's recent growth, but it has also sent mixed signals that have unnerved Beijing. More consistent engagement is in order, because the course of the twenty-first century will be determined by the relationship between the world's greatest power and the world's greatest emerging power.

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