Currencies and Politics in the United States, Germany, and Japan
Henning, a political scientist, addresses the formulation and execution of monetary policy, with emphasis on its international aspects, in Germany, Japan, and the United States. He touches on earlier periods but focuses on the 1980s and early 1990s, providing a fascinating review of such major events affecting monetary policy as the Plaza Accord of 1985, the stock market crash of October 1987, German unification in 1990, the stall of the Japanese economy in the 1990s, and the European exchange rate crises of 1992-93. Henning is interested in the dynamics of policymaking, especially the role of interested private parties such as banks and industrial firms and the influence of the institutional arrangements on exchange rate policy. There are important differences in these regards among the three countries, such as the subordination of the Bank of Japan to the Ministry of Finance (in sharp contrast to the Bundesbank and the Federal Reserve) and the greater influence on policy and receptivity to the interests of industrialists in Germany and Japan than in the United States.
The author makes some bold recommendations, such as that the Bank of Japan should be independent of the MOF on the (doubtful) grounds that it would encourage more active use of fiscal policy for macroeconomic stabilization; and that the Federal Reserve Act should be amended to make clear that the Fed can intervene in foreign exchange markets on its own account. However, to draw firm conclusions about political dynamics and desirable institutional structure from the study of only three important but highly complex societies is not possible.
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For over half a century Japan and Germany have been at the heart of America's international preoccupations. After a long and destructive war against both countries, the United States worked exhaustively to help its two erstwhile enemies recover and build democratic societies secure under the American defense umbrella. From the late 1960s to the mid-1980s, victor and vanquished moved to a more balanced relationship, especially in trade and finance. Today, in one of history's great role reversals, Tokyo and Bonn have become Washington's fierce trading rivals and also its primary bankers.
Forecasts the emergence of an international order based on 'civilian powers', defined as states dependent on economic co-operation, supra-national structures, and primarily economic (rather than military) means of defending the national interest. A discussion of the potential of the FRG and Japan as such powers.
Russia's post-Soviet orientation is in serious trouble. The West does not want to see any structure in Eurasia that permits Russian hegemony, but abetting continued chaos in the former Soviet space is hardly in the West's interest. Central Asia and the Caucasus are rife with flash points that could ignite and draw in outside powers, and the presence of nuclear weapons raises the stakes even higher. The United States should support integration, not division. For its part, Russia should work with nearby countries to help unite diverse peoples in a stabler system.

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