Brasstacks and Beyond: Perception and Management of Crisis in South Asia
This case study of the India-Pakistan crisis of 1986-87 was precipitated by India's yearlong Brasstacks Exercise. The largest military exercise conducted in South Asia in recent decades, it was comparable to the largest NATO and Warsaw Pact military maneuvers. At one point, India positioned its armed forces such that they could cut Pakistan in half. Pakistan responded by threatening India's province of Punjab.
The authors are Indian, Pakistani, and American academics. Two were serving in their governments at the time. The project members interviewed virtually all living senior officials in the three governments associated with policymaking during the crisis. The result is probably the most thorough academic case study of a South Asian crisis ever written. It raises important questions about the propensity of both India and Pakistan to drift into conflict. And it offers some very sensible conclusions about avoiding or managing future confrontations. This book should become standard reading in international relations courses on crisis management.
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Since independence, India's nuclear policy has been to seek either global disarm ament or equal security for all. The old nonproliferation regime was discriminatory, ratifying the possession of nuclear weapons for the permanent five members of the U.N. Security Council while preaching to the nuclear have-nots about the virtues of disarmament. India was left sandwiched between two nuclear weapons powers, Pakistan and a rising China. The end of the Cold War has not ushered in an era where globalization and trade trump old-fashioned security woes. If nuclear deterrence works in the West, why won't it work in India?
India's and Pakistan's nuclear tests last May were a double setback: for security on the subcontinent and worldwide nonproliferation efforts. U.S. attempts to forge warmer relations with both countries were also casualties of the blasts. The tests could spark a chain of withdrawals from the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty, undermining the international consensus against the spread of nuclear arms. Cold War brinkmanship is no model for diplomacy. For their sake as well as the world's, India and Pakistan need to stabilize their nuclear rivalry at the lowest possible level, ban further tests, and embrace frequent, high-level bilateral talks to ease tensions.
Last year's nuclear tests by both India and Pakistan brought world attention to the decades-old Kashmir conflict. Claimed by both countries, the former princely state has been ravaged by a war that shows no sign of ending. Both rivals have invested heavily in blood and treasure to make Kashmir their own. Now Afghan-trained mujahideen are leading the fight, bringing their own foreign brand of radical Islam. Neither New Delhi nor Islamabad has ever asked what Kashmiris want. They would not like the answer: more than anything else, Kashmiris hope to be left alone.

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