Strategic Appraisal 1996
This book draws on staff members at Rand and outside experts (Fritz Ermarth on Russia, Stephen Larrabee on the Balkans, Michael Swaine on China, Graham Fuller on the Middle East) to survey world security developments during the past year. The chapters follow no template, a wise move on the part of the editor, who formerly directed the policy planning staff in the Pentagon. The reference guides at the end of each essay play up Rand publications a bit but contain useful pointers for further reading. Although the purpose of the book is to help Air Force decision-makers "understand the strategic background" to their decisions, it is a work of general utility for the student of strategic affairs.
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Despite a vast budget that dwarfs the military spending power of both friends and foes, the U.S. military today remains stuck in the past. American strategy still relies on a Cold War-era view of the world, and U.S. technology is ill-suited to current missions. Meanwhile, demoralization is creeping through the ranks. The next president must seize the opportunity to remake the military by forcing it to focus on the missions of the future rather than those of the past. The alternative -- more of the same -- is too dangerous to consider.
Donald Rumsfeld has gotten better press as a secretary of war than he did as a secretary of defense. But the latter job is tougher, so he deserves some sympathy. The dilemmas of U.S. defense policy today reflect more than individual foibles and the difficulty of transforming a giant, often dysfunctional bureaucracy. Even more important, they stem from America's profoundly ambivalent and only semiconscious acceptance of its unique, world-historical role. Whatever the pace at which the Pentagon adapts to that fact, it must do so, and the more swiftly the better.
One does not rise through the bureaucracy as spectacularly as Colin Powell has without shrewd insight into of the game of government. But to understand Powell's views on issues ranging from the use of force to civilian control of the military, one has to return to his foot-soldier origins.

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