A New North America: Cooperation and Enhanced Interdependence
A useful collection of seven essays on the prospects for increased cooperation between the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Charles Doran and Sidney Weintraub stress the need to "deepen" the North American relationship before "widening" it to include other countries of the Western Hemisphere, on the plausible grounds that premature widening would derail the prospects for further cooperation within the framework of NAFTA. Several of the essays are much too narrow in focus. Drischler, for instance, confines his discussion to the effect of NAFTA on foreign direct investment in the United States, an approach that stands uncomfortably alongside the more comprehensive assessments of Mexican and Canadian perspectives by Delal Baer and Edward Safarian. Baer's essay is the best of the lot, though her assessment that U.S.-Mexican relations have entered a more treacherous phase is at odds with the sunnier perspectives of most of the other contributors.
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The United States is spreading its aid and efforts too thin in the developing world. It should focus on a small number of "pivotal states": countries whose fate determines the survival and success of the surrounding region and ultimately the stability of the international system. The list should include Mexico, Brazil, Algeria, Egypt, South Africa, Turkey, India, Pakistan, and Indonesia. A discriminating strategy for shoring up the developing world is a wise way to address traditional security threats and new transnational issues; it might be thought of as the new, improved domino theory. If effective, it could forestall the move in Congress to wipe out nearly all foreign aid.
To the United States, the labor and environmental costs of NAFTA would be minimal and the economic benefits real, but small. The trade agreement is really about helping a friendly and important neighbor in its yet uncompleted economic and political reform.
Americans like to take the stability of their southern NAFTA partner for granted. But while things are going well in Mexico, a backlash is brewing. The end of one-party rule has brought chaos to Mexico as three political parties jockey for power in an atmosphere rife with recriminations and dirty tricks. If a minority government emerges from the 2000 elections, it could lose control of the country. Political violence remains a threat, and drug lords and rebel groups undermine the government. It all makes authoritarian solutions ever more attractive. Mexico must wake up before its many nightmares become reality.

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