China's Arms Acquisitions From Abroad: A Quest for 'Superb and Secret Weapons'
This monograph combines statistical data and concise analysis to paint a generally complacent picture of Chinese military modernization. In spite of long-standing efforts to acquire advanced military technology abroad, the Chinese have only recently begun to have substantial successes, according to the authors, who see a variety of economic, institutional, and ideological forces hampering the development of Chinese military power. In making these judgments, they assume that past performance is a reasonable measure of future prospects. Those who are more impressed by the spectacular rate of change in China, regarding it as an indicator of future military potential, may be less sanguine, but should study this volume carefully nonetheless.
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The Chinese Communist Party is simultaneously fostering the growth of the Internet and weaving a web of regulations to limit network content and use. But regulations cannot entirely block Internet communication, and the state's previously solid control over information is shifting to the citizens. If a future economic or political crisis spurs a challenge to party rule, this shift in information control may decide the outcome.
Washington is leaving a crucial piece out of the nuclear puzzle. It will be China, not Russia or any rogue, whose nuclear policy will concern America most in the years ahead. The People's Republic has started to modernize its arsenal, and Western actions will help determine just what form China's force ultimately takes. Before rushing to deploy missile defenses, Washington should consider whether they would solve a problem or create one.
No, it is not a silly question -- merely one that is not asked often enough. Odd as it may seem, the country that is home to a fifth of humankind is consistently overrated as an economy, a world power, and a source of ideas. Economically, China is a relatively unimportant small market; militarily, it is less a global rival like the Soviet Union than a regional menace like Iraq; and politically, its influence is puny. The Middle Kingdom is a middle power. China matters far less than it and most of the West think, and it is high time the West began treating it as such.
