Growing Artificial Societies: Social Science From the Bottom Up
Astute readers will note the influence of the Santa Fe Institute and concepts of "complex adaptive systems" in this book's title. Most social science models, including the general equilibrium model at the heart of modern neoclassical economics, mathematically reconstruct the aggregate behavior of populations by imposing highly simplified behavioral assumptions on them (for example, rational utility maximization). These models also tend to be static, that is, they cannot account for evolutionary change over time. Modeling "from the bottom up" means using computers to test the interaction of individual agents rather than aggregated populations, and has been used successfully in the life sciences to predict the evolution of complex biological systems. This book describes an extension of this methodology into the social sciences, in particular the authors' "sugarscape" society in which individual agents engage in sexual reproduction, trade, learning, and a range of social behaviors. While the issues raised here may seem overly technical for general readers, the use of this technique represents a recognition that existing models are too simplistic and mechanical ever to capture the realities of complex social systems. The next logical area for it to spread is into military modeling, and readers should expect further works along these lines in the coming years.
Related
Throughout this century, modernists have been proclaiming that technology would transform world politics. These days futurists argue that the information revolution is leading to a new electronic feudalism, with overlapping communities laying claim to citizens' loyalties. But the state is very resilient. Geographically based states will continue to structure politics in an information age, but they will rely less on traditional resources and more on their ability to remain credible to a public with increasingly diverse sources of information.
Doomsayers predict that globalization will weaken national governments. They should bite their tongues. Global governance will of course grow in step with economic integration. But it will actually express and promote, rather than suppress, the interests of nation-states.
To date, the Internet economy -- with its emphasis on knowledge and innovation -- has widened the global income gap. Rich nations must help level the playing field in areas from trade to banking to intellectual-property laws. Poor nations, meanwhile, must help themselves by taking steps to promote foreign investment, tackle corruption, and improve education.
