The Taiwan-China Connection: Democracy and Development Across the Taiwan Straits
A Taiwanese academic explains how, despite the Taiwan government's efforts to restrict trade with the Chinese mainland, the Taiwanese business community has pressed ahead. As a result, Taiwan's economic dependence on the Chinese market for its exports has far surpassed the government-set "warning line" of 10 percent. More than 20 percent of Taiwan's total exports are now going to China, and the figure is rising. Meanwhile the Taiwan government is caught in a dilemma. To cool trade relations with China risks slowing economic growth. Not to restrain such trade risks national security and makes Taiwan increasingly vulnerable politically to Beijing. Meanwhile, the PRC is trying to attract Taiwanese trade and investment to the mainland for political reasons by bestowing all kinds of inducements and favors on Taiwan's business community. This is a very valuable study that neatly captures the dilemma facing Taiwan's political leaders and accurately depicts Beijing's economic strategy for countering Taiwan's drive toward de facto independence.
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Can Mao or the inheritors of Mao's authority entertain the possibility of some "separateness" for any Chinese within his egalitarian One China world? The answer to this question will influence Peking's attitudes toward peaceful coexistence with Taipei, intellectual and cultural diversities at home, and possibilities for future organization of China's economic system.
The defense of Taiwan remains at the heart of the issue of China. The recent initiatives of Peking and Washington, and the impending presidential visit, have inspired hopeful speculation. Discussion has centered on formulas for recognition and entry into the United Nations. Our alliance with the Republic of China on Taiwan has been given less consideration, and its implications are optimistically avoided. But our security relationship with Taiwan-in particular the Mutual Defense Treaty of 1954-dictates certain diplomatic solutions and precludes others. Definitive choices will have to be made, and illusions of entertaining contradictory positions will have to be abandoned. If the consequences of our defense arrangement are not grasped, and the problems not deliberately resolved, the expectations that have been aroused may be unfulfilled, and the United States may proceed to underwrite a new order in East Asia that offers at best a tense military equilibrium and perpetual American involvement in the political evolution of the region.
China's saber-rattling over its "renegade province" ignores Taiwan's decades of democracy. If Beijing wants one China, it should conciliate, not intimidate.

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