A New U.S. Policy Toward India and Pakistan
An independent task force of the Council on Foreign Relations urges that instead of trying to roll back India's and Pakistan's de facto nuclear capabilities, the United States discourage nuclear testing and deployment and the export of related technologies. With India, it urges a closer strategic relationship. With Pakistan, Congress should allow limited conventional arms sales and military assistance to fund education and training programs, untie economic assistance programs from nuclear developments, and repeal prohibitions against loans that facilitate U.S. business activity. Moreover, at the Pentagon, National Security Council, and CIA, South Asian issues are treated intermittently and secondarily by the relevant regional bureaus while attracting constant attention from nonproliferation experts, contributing to the dominance of their concerns. The panel recommends that the U.S. military treat both countries as part of the Pacific Command, and that the National Security Council have at least one full-time person assigned to South Asia.
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India's and Pakistan's nuclear tests last May were a double setback: for security on the subcontinent and worldwide nonproliferation efforts. U.S. attempts to forge warmer relations with both countries were also casualties of the blasts. The tests could spark a chain of withdrawals from the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty, undermining the international consensus against the spread of nuclear arms. Cold War brinkmanship is no model for diplomacy. For their sake as well as the world's, India and Pakistan need to stabilize their nuclear rivalry at the lowest possible level, ban further tests, and embrace frequent, high-level bilateral talks to ease tensions.
Since independence, India's nuclear policy has been to seek either global disarm ament or equal security for all. The old nonproliferation regime was discriminatory, ratifying the possession of nuclear weapons for the permanent five members of the U.N. Security Council while preaching to the nuclear have-nots about the virtues of disarmament. India was left sandwiched between two nuclear weapons powers, Pakistan and a rising China. The end of the Cold War has not ushered in an era where globalization and trade trump old-fashioned security woes. If nuclear deterrence works in the West, why won't it work in India?
Last year's nuclear tests by both India and Pakistan brought world attention to the decades-old Kashmir conflict. Claimed by both countries, the former princely state has been ravaged by a war that shows no sign of ending. Both rivals have invested heavily in blood and treasure to make Kashmir their own. Now Afghan-trained mujahideen are leading the fight, bringing their own foreign brand of radical Islam. Neither New Delhi nor Islamabad has ever asked what Kashmiris want. They would not like the answer: more than anything else, Kashmiris hope to be left alone.

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