Democratization and Revolution in the U.S.S.R., 1985-1991
Six years after the whole thing collapsed, it is, as Hough notes, time to offer some fundamental answers to the most basic questions. Why did the Soviet Union end as it did? And still more problematic, did it have to happen? The unmaking of the Soviet Union, Hough contends, deserves to be thought of as a revolution, a revolution from above. That, he argues, is the modern way to think about revolution -- not as an irrepressible explosion from below, but as the handiwork of national elites who have lost their stomach, indeed their desire, to preserve a decrepit system. But elites have choices, and if they choose well, as in Hough's view the Chinese have, they can reform the system; if they choose badly, as he believes the Soviet leadership did, they precipitate a revolution. For those who believe the Soviet system was unreformable and fated to collapse when tampered with, this thesis will be controversial enough. What should steam things up a good deal more, however, is Hough's claim that Gorbachev's real folly was to listen to radical reformers and democrats rather than "moderate reformers," who would, he contends, have kept the democratizing to a minimum and directed the economic reform at, rather than against, a managerial class ready for change.
Related
Although Russia has projected itself more forcefully on the world stage since the beginning of the Putin era, its foreign policy still lacks any sort of grand strategic vision. Russian leaders continue to squabble over issues from NATO expansion to the world economy. But they are particularly concerned about Russia's identity, especially with regard to the post-Soviet states. If the Bush administration fails to devise a coherent policy of its own toward its former rival, it may face serious problems down the road.
Gorbachev's new thinking is based on the belief that military power is not the only way to national security, and that there is a link between national and mutual security. The revolution in foreign policy thinking has been most profound at the level of policy concepts, and has been based on a realization that the real threat to the USSR comes from the weakening of the economy due to excessive military spending. Notes how the ideas underpinning the foreign policy revolution have existed for the last decade, and how the evidence suggests that the change is genuine.

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