Europe's Next Big Idea: Strategy and Economics Point to a European Military
After unifying its currencies, Europe is trying to build its own army. The idea is good strategy and better economics.
Richard Medley is Chairman and CEO of Medley Global Advisors, a New York-based research and intelligence consultancy specializing in political analysis for international investors and corporations.
European military union is fast becoming the successor to monetary union as the next big idea for Europe. The dynamic new European Commission president, Romano Prodi, has declared that establishing a unified European military will define his tenure in office, just as his predecessor, Jacques Delors, made creating a European economic and monetary union (EMU) his hallmark. Building a European military capacity is also the first item on British Prime Minister Tony Blair's "to do" list as he tries to make Britain irreversibly a full European partner. Prodi and Blair's center-left counterparts -- Gerhard Schroeder of Germany, Lionel Jospin of France, and Massimo D'Alema of Italy -- are all on board, for both economic and political reasons. American officials have signaled that they, too, are now comfortable with the European military push, having already signed a general agreement to support a European military union at NATO's 50th anniversary summit this April in Washington.
Within weeks of this gathering, Europe's new leaders followed up with a historic decision at their Cologne summit to create an autonomous defense force with the political and military muscle to fight its own battles. They were goaded by the war in Kosovo, which highlighted in vivid and embarrassing detail Europe's dependence on the U.S. military. Far from fostering internal dissension on the continent, Kosovo actually brought the common foreign and security objectives of the European Union (EU) member states into focus. Honing the West's war machine allowed senior European policymakers to score a series of important victories that had eluded their predecessors for decades.
Structurally and symbolically, the most important decision taken at Cologne was to appoint NATO Secretary-General Javier Solana as the first EU foreign policy representative. Finally there will be someone to answer the phone in Europe when Henry Kissinger calls.
This is a premium article
You must be a Foreign Affairs subscriber to continue reading. If you are already a print subscriber, click here to activate your online access.
Log In
Buy PDF
Buy a premium PDF reprint of this article.Related
Jean Monnet's dream that European integration would eliminate conflict may have been a delusion. France and other countries do not share Germany's fixation on sound money -- or its hegemonic vision. A European central bank would be unresponsive to local unemployment, while political union would remove competitive pressures within Europe for structural reform, prompting protectionism and conflict with the United States. A Europe of 300 million people and an independent military might be a force for world peace, but war is also a distinct possibility.
Advocates of "Europe" -- a united, federal European state -- tout their project as at once a noble political ideal and a pragmatic economic strategy. Both arguments are wrong. The European Union's bureaucrats will stifle the continent's economy, and its politicos will breed corruption and nationalist resentment. Letting the EU handle security matters would be equally disastrous, as the fiasco in Bosnia demonstrates. Despite all this, the partisans of "Europe" warn the skeptical that the train is pulling out of the station. Those who care about Europe will let it go.
American commentators castigate their European allies as economic dinosaurs, hopelessly incoherent in their foreign policy and shamefully irresponsible in their duties to NATO. As Europe prepares to launch its single currency, U.S. critics have found yet another target. But smug assumptions of American supremacy are wildly overdone. Europe's economies are robust and their cooperation increasingly productive. Besides, America is not so hot either. Today's Eurobashing endangers the transatlantic relationship as much as European anti-Americanism once did. America should address its own inconsistencies in foreign policy while granting its European partners the respect they deserve.
