Capitalism Russian-Style
Who is right about Russia's rocky road to reform -- those who think Russia is slowly making its way toward capitalism, however unsteady and compromised, or those who believe no less passionately that the whole process has been hijacked by brigands posing as new capitalists, leaving Russia nowhere? Both, says Gustafson. Russia is midstream in wide and rough waters and cannot go back. The old order has been successfully ruined, but the country does not know how to complete the swim. Mistakes made along the way create large barriers to further progress. Gustafson surveys the whole story better than anyone else to date: the nature of the reforms, privatization, the rise of capital markets, the emergence of a banking system, the character of the new (and not-so-new) capitalists, the scourge of crime, and above all, the enfeeblement of the state. Gustafson concludes that Russia will make it. But how messy, costly, delayed, and harrowing the passage will be depends greatly on how soon Russia regains a state worthy of the name.
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The recent emergence of nationalist and populist forces in eastern Europe, coupled with the rise of Russia, now threatens to derail efforts toward further EU integration, weaken NATO, erode the continent's stability, and damage U.S. interests. Washington must ensure that the region's new politics do not damage the European project, for a strong and cohesive EU is in everyone's interest.
German reunification ranks high on George Bush's impressive list of foreign policy achievements. Philip Zelikow and Condoleezza Rice's engaging account reveals how American leadership won the day.
The neoliberal economic and political models used by Western analysts to explain Russia's recent transformation ignore the interrelationship between the economy and politics. Russia is in the midst of a social revolution. Economic reform without political reform-as attempted by Yegor Gaidar-will fail. Prime Minister Viktor Chernomyrdin's policies have met with some success because of accompanying political changes. This interrelated pattern of reform must continue.

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