Alliance Adrift
The post-Cold War stability of Asia depends on the effectiveness of the U.S.-Japan alliance -- and the critical but troubling question to ask is whether this strained relationship will be up to the challenge. A distinguished Japanese journalist, Funabashi analyzes the problems of the alliance by dissecting four case studies: friction over economic and trade matters, responses to the North Korean nuclear weapons program, American bases in Okinawa and the aftermath of the rape of a Japanese schoolgirl there, and the challenge posed by China after its 1996 missile firing near Taiwan. The result is a lively, in-depth account of the operations of two governments with quite distinct styles. Based on extensive interviews and careful archival readings, Funabashi brings to life the personalities of the officials involved. The result is first-class diplomatic history told through human interactions.
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In the first century of our relations with Japan, both countries swung from extremes of high hope to despair, and back again to hope. Now, with greater opportunities to know each other and with a dialogue reopened between our intellectuals, there should be wiser calculations on both sides of the Pacific. Instead, we are again moving in different directions and, at least for the moment, there is the danger that high expectations will again founder on misunderstandings.
The Clinton administration inherits strained bilateral relations with the leading powers of Asia and no coherent policy for the Asia / Pacific region as a whole. Trade, security and diplomatic style are the overarching challenges and on all three counts prominent Asians are worried. They fear a president bent on building trade walls, bringing home American troops and lecturing on human rights. Yet respect for the United States remains instinctive throughout the region, particularly given convincing progress in rejuvenating the American economy. Asia's quest for economic growth and more democratic government awaits leadership from Washington.
The end of the Cold War also marks the end of a US-Japanese relationship in which the USA was the senior and Japan the junior partner. The political and economic dynamics of the two countries require a new definition of shared interests between equals. For the USA, this will require a clearer recognition that Japan has paid its debts and earned its parity. For the Japanese, it will require them to "remember two unpleasant and rarely voiced truths: they remain generally unpopular overseas, and the United States is still Japan's best friend, and perhaps at times its only friend".
