SHALL WE DANCE?
The Japanese economy of old -- coddled by an overbearing government and riddled with corruption -- is dying. Today Japan is undergoing nothing short of an economic revolution. No longer able to count on bailouts, banks are restructuring. Companies are putting profits ahead of personal loyalties. Reforms are breathing life into decayed industries. And the climate for foreign investment is better than ever. The most important force for change is the wave of small, creative, high-tech companies that have built Japan's very own Silicon Valley. The government's lackluster economic stewardship is no longer important. The state is not driving today's revolution; business is.
To the Editor:
Aurelia George Mulgan shows a keen knowledge of what is happening in Japan, as opposed to what people hope will happen there ("Japan: A Setting Sun?" July/August 2000). She deservedly underlines the extraordinary connection between the government and the business sectors that thus far has undermined any attempts at real recovery -- just as in an earlier era, it proved a springboard for a different kind of economic success.
M. Diana Helweg's article in the same issue, "Japan: A Rising Sun?" pins hope on Japanese business' turning the country around -- with only minimal attention paid to the political arm. Japan simply does not work that way. The political-business connection, regrettably, is for the time being as strong as ever, thanks to the pernicious Liberal Democratic Party. Helweg is also too optimistic in using the success of Sony, Toyota, and a few similar companies as augurs of a new recovery. They are international corporations that wheel and deal with a freedom not remotely enjoyed by the great majority of Japanese businesses, which are still feeding at the trough of government protection. Furthermore, the unraveling of Japan in the last decade deserves far more attention than Helweg's passing mention. She offers an all-too-tidy version of Japan's assumed twenty-first-century resurgence.
Frank Gibney
President, Pacific Basin Institute, Pomona College
Related
Japan's unique economic system -- first created to help it through World War II -- served the country well for years, allowing for one of history's greatest booms. But now that same system has led Japan to the edge of economic collapse. Deep reforms are now critical. Making them will not be easy, but Japan no longer has a choice.
Everyone I met in Japan last fall, during my tenth long trip to that country in 18 years, talked economics and only economics. Even the theoretical mathematician and the elderly abbot of the famous Zen temple were obsessed with the dollar/yen exchange rate, the export surplus, and the cost of petroleum. Japan is indeed undergoing traumatic economic changes. Yet the basic issues facing Japan are not economic. They are changes in social structure and social values.
THE foreign trade of Japan has only recently succeeded in recovering from the extreme contraction which it suffered following World War II. Now considerable attention is being given everywhere to the question of its future development. There are misgivings in certain quarters as to the quality of Japanese exported goods, and there also may be some concern that Japan will revert to dumping practices, or that she may be creating undue complications by exercising export and import controls not called for by the realities of current commercial transactions.

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