Triangulating Peace: Democracy, Interdependence, and International Organizations
Immanuel Kant famously argued that peace could emerge among states once they shared three features: representative democracy, adherence to international law and organizations, and advanced commercial integration. In the postwar era, these insights guided community-building throughout the developed world. Now Russett and Oneal have provided the most comprehensive statistical analysis of this phenomenon to date. They not only affirm the most debated thesis in world politics -- that democracies virtually never fight each other -- but suggest that democracies are also more peaceful in general than are authoritarian states. They also find evidence that states in highly interdependent economic relationships tend to refrain from fighting with their commercial partners. Furthermore, the more international organizations a state joins, the less likely its government is to use force against other members. The Kantian peace could be seriously undermined by a severe economic downturn, the authors conclude, but no tangible threat exists of a "clash of civilizations." The book does not explain how these complex orders arise in the first place, however.
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Past attempts to fix failed states in Africa have gone nowhere for similar reasons: they have tried to restore good governance to places that have never enjoyed it in the first place. A radical rethinking is needed; in the hardest cases, international trusteeships offer the best chance for success.
The Group of Seven leading industrialized nations is a circus of fop and flop. Its governments have been unable to pursue disciplined or consistent fiscal and monetary policies. Now, when market interdependence is replacing realpolitik, the G-7 should be reformed. It should add on a council of ministers like the European Community's, a brainy, vocal secretariat and a wide-ranging agenda. This broader and deeper structure could help turn the G-7 into a liberal concert of powers.
Stop searching for order. The international structure established by the liberal democracies after World War II is still in place, and in many ways stronger than ever. Containment got most of the attention, but the liberal powers' agreement to manage trade, security, and other big matters cooperatively has been more durable, and more successful than most recognize. Besides, the order is deeply rooted in the American experience of democracy and constitutionalism. It shaped the Germany and Japan of today, and now most of the rest of the world wants to join.

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