The Elusive Quest for Growth: Economists' Adventures and Misadventures in the Tropics
A highly readable and iconoclastic treatment of the determinants of economic growth -- a topic that interests the author (an official at the World Bank) primarily because growth alleviates poverty. The book draws heavily on today's fashionable cross-country statistical research, much of it done or sponsored by the World Bank. Yet it offers a nontechnical review of how views on growth have affected the policies of foreign-aid agencies and international financial institutions. Easterly finds much of the conventional wisdom to be wrong, or at least not supported by statistical evidence. Presumptions that foreign aid increases investment, that high investment ratios lead to higher growth, or that education, population control, and debt relief will stimulate growth all lack empirical support, he charges. He then attempts to explain why growth has been so disparate across countries, and what might be done about these disparities. Although much depends on luck, the key lesson for economic performance is that people respond to the incentives they face. If these incentives are conducive to growth-inducing behavior, growth will occur, bad luck aside. But for a variety of reasons, most poor countries have badly misdirected incentives -- sometimes with the implicit support of aid agencies.
Related
IN the spring of 1964 representatives of more than 110 countries will gather in Geneva for the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. To say that the less developed countries have high hopes for this event would be the understatement of the year. Again and again at meetings of the Preparatory Committee for the Conference the refrain was that the Conference would be the single most important international event for the less developed countries since the founding of the United Nations. These countries look to the Conference to lay the foundations for a "new international division of labor"; to formulate a new and "dynamic international trade policy"; and, as one representative to the Preparatory Committee recently wrote, to advance the goal of "economic emancipation" from the neo-colonialism implicit in present trade relations between rich and poor countries.
Before the end of this year, the Special Drawing Rights machinery of the International Monetary Fund should come into operation, ushering in a new era of multilaterally created international reserves. This is no small matter. The international community has not heretofore created anything so deadly serious as money.
Since its creation, the IMF has seen its global mission overcome by floating exchange rates and immense private capital markets. Consequently, it has focused more on the developing world, become more politicized, and wandered into riskier endeavors such as Mexico's bailout. Nevertheless, the IMF can and should be reformed to become a global rating agency, a bankruptcy judge for nations, and an international catalyst for aid and financial packages.
