India Unbound
Through an autobiographical lens, this book seeks to explain why India's economy stagnated for so long before finally picking up in recent years. As a schoolboy, Das worshipped Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru; as a Harvard undergraduate, he learned from top economists that India should ignore the market and rely on state planning and import substitution. Finally, as head of Procter & Gamble India, he was harassed by a bureaucratic state that saw profits as sinful, hindered entrepreneurs, and favored poorly run, state-owned industries. By juxtaposing his personal story with India's economic journey, Das avoids abstractions and focuses on the particular individuals who were leading India into trouble with its "mixed economy." This may be the first book to ask why America's leading economists were so wrong in their policy advice for India in the 1950s and 1960s. Das is understandably enthusiastic about India's current economic reforms, but his key argument -- that India can quickly become the world leader in the information revolution -- seems to stray into fantasy.
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The West accounts for a disproportionate share of world income because it has already passed through capitalist development. Now that Asia is becoming capitalist, it will return to the center of the world economy, where it was in the early nineteenth century. Current currency crises are only blips on the screen. Asia's miracle transpired not because of shrewd industrial policy or great leaps forward but because countries attracted foreign investment and moved up the development ladder one rung at a time. But ahead lies the challenge, particularly for India and China, of establishing modern governments.
After being shackled by the government for decades, India's economy has become one of the world's strongest. The country's unique development model -- relying on domestic consumption and high-tech services -- has brought a quarter century of record growth despite an incompetent and heavy-handed state. But for that growth to continue, the state must start modernizing along with Indian society.
A combination of factors is inexorably pushing India toward what may be described as a political and economic watershed. The decisions and actions that its leadership takes-or fails to take-this year may shape the history not only of India but perhaps of Asia for a long time to come.
