Afghanistan the Bear Trap: The Defeat of a Superpower
First published in 1992, this reissued book is the memoir of the Pakistani brigadier general who masterminded the equipping and training of the Afghan mujahideen in their struggle against the Soviets in the 1980s. His coauthor, a former major in the British army, has polished the general's prose, but it remains Yousaf's book. A fascinating and generally believable tale, it makes a number of important points. First, the hardiness and bellicosity of the Afghans were matched by a style of warfare with almost as many drawbacks as strengths. Second, the Soviet military was poorly disciplined, demoralized, badly led, and unimaginative for most of the war. Third, the Soviets and their Afghan clients hung on for a very long time despite these weaknesses. Fourth, despite abundant U.S. military aid, the Pakistani Inter-Services Intelligence Directorate viewed the United States as calculating and untrustworthy -- a mixture of innocent abroad and Machiavellian superpower. Indeed, in Yousaf's view, the Americans came to Afghanistan only to avenge Vietnam; after they succeeded, they abandoned those who had helped them. It would be interesting to know what he thinks now.
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The first engagement in the new war on terrorism -- with Osama bin Ladin in Afghanistan -- poses severe challenges for the United States. Rooting out bin Ladin's network will require military success in a country that the Soviet Union could not conquer in ten years of trying, as well as support from unstable surrounding nations. Washington may be tempted to try to oust the Taliban regime, but doing so could rekindle Afghanistan's brutal civil war. The United States must proceed with caution -- or end up on the ash heap of Afghan history.
To wage its war in Afghanistan, the Bush administration needed Uzbekistan's help -- and promised a lot to get it. But Washington must not let this short-term marriage of convenience give Uzbekistan long-term regional hegemony. The Uzbek regime's authoritarianism fosters Islamic extremism, which in turn exacerbates tensions among Central Asia's unstable governments. Only a multilateral approach can handle the region's many problems.
The military campaign in Afghanistan has been, for the most part, a masterpiece of creativity and finesse. It may wind up being one of the most notable U.S. military successes since World War II. But the American strategy has also had flaws. Most important, by contracting out much of the work to undependable local proxies, it may have allowed Osama bin Laden and other al Qaeda leaders to escape -- and menace the world down the road.

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