Dangerous Markets: Managing in Financial Crises; Financial Crises and What to Do About Them
Two worthy additions to the growing library of books on financial crises.
The first, written by three associates of the McKinsey consulting firm, offers a practical guide for all major participants in a financial crisis: governments, private banks and firms, and international financial institutions. Based partly on the authors' consulting experience, the book draws helpful lessons from the numerous financial crises of the past two decades, including U.S. domestic experience. It usefully reminds readers that crises provide opportunities for shedding out-of-date practices -- and for making money -- as well as impose economic costs. In the second, Eichengreen provides a synthetic overview of recent crises and draws extensively on the findings of academic research (much of it ambiguous) to try to resolve the numerous disagreements over how the international financial system should be organized to prevent future crises and cope with those that will inevitably occur. Both books make useful interpretive comments in making their more general points on recent financial crises, such as those in Argentina and Turkey.
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With the U.S. economy soaring, few care that immigration to the United States is at its highest absolute levels. But what happens when the economy falls back to earth? High-tech immigrant workers are already competing with Americans for jobs, while unskilled immigrant laborers are becoming a permanent underclass. High immigration is creating imbalances in education, income distribution, employment, and welfare demands -- as well as tensions between immigrants and citizens and among the federal, state, and local governments. An economic slump will mean crisis. Congress and the White House need to cut back now.
Will Russia be run by democrats or oligarchs? The signs are worrying. The West would rather not dwell on the extent to which Russia's market is dominated by robber barons and permeated by crime and corruption. Russia's democracy is weak, with unfair election campaigns, a compromised media, and few checks on the presidency. The West cannot afford to let Russia descend into chaos, which might mean losing control of Russia's arsenal of weapons of mass destruction, but its two-faced NATO expansion policy hurts the democrats' chances.
The growing economic disputes between the USA and Japan could develop into a serious political conflict. The 'Japan problem' is rooted in two fictions (1) that the Japanese state has central organs of government which bear ultimate responsibility for economic and political decision-making, whereas the Japanese system is a collection of different hierarchies without a centre (2) that Japan has a free-market capitalist economy, whereas it is actually a 'capitalist development state', characterized by a partnership between central bureaucrats and entrepreneurs. Fixed trade commitments could be part of the solution.
