Crisis on the Korean Peninsula: How to Deal With a Nuclear North Korea
At a time of growing awareness of the threat that North Korea's nuclear capacity represents, O'Hanlon and Mochizuki offer a provocative "Grand Bargain" to solve the problem. They propose that "the five" -- Washington, Tokyo, Seoul, Beijing, and Moscow -- give North Korea $2 billion a year in economic aid in exchange for Pyongyang's abandoning all nuclear activities and allowing full inspections. This deal would be accompanied by reductions in conventional forces in North and South Korea and in U.S. troops stationed in East Asia -- all of which would hasten Korean reunification. Theirs is a bold vision, supported by detailed knowledge of North Korea and rigorous analysis of technical challenges. Events, however, may be starting to overtake them. The Bush administration's multilateral approach has attracted Pyongyang's interest, and Beijing has welcomed the possibility of playing a greater role. Still, the book has great value as a model for analyzing problems of nuclear proliferation and for understanding North Korea.
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Japan faces its biggest foreign policy challenges since World War II. Its leaders must snap out of their deep funk to confront a rising China, a nuclear South Asia, a United States increasingly prone to Japan-bashing, and a world in economic free fall. Instead of sulking over the growing closeness of U.S.-China ties, Tokyo should take the initiative and propose trilateral dialogues with Beijing and Washington on a range of issues, especially Asian security, nuclear disarmament, and macroeconomic policy. Japan's pessimism threatens the world's prosperity. If Tokyo stays on the sidelines, the world will pass it by.
Fifty years after Hiroshima and Nagasaki, America should ask itself why Japanese civilians became targets during World War II. Recently declassified documents suggest that Tokyo probably would have surrendered without the bombings or an Allied invasion of Japan. In the moral climate of 1945, however, there were few dissenters. "When you have to deal with a beast," Truman wrote, "you have to treat him as a beast."
Going Critical offers an insiders' view of the deal struck with North Korea in 1994 and a core lesson for the Bush administration: there's no substitute for negotiation.

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