The Vitality of China and the Chinese; The Vitality of Russia
These two books are the much-delayed products of conferences held in Shanghai and Moscow, part of a broader program sponsored by the Luxembourg Institute of European and International Studies on the "vitality of nations." The idea is to bring together a diverse collection of domestic and foreign experts, plus a few generalists, to discuss the elements accounting for a country's historical and contemporary vitality (or its lack thereof). The results-prepared papers supplemented by a lightly edited transcript of conference dialogue-are disjointed but fascinating, particularly the exchanges between local and foreign specialists and the illumination of the role of history in shaping contemporary thinking and perceptions.
Related
Did East Timor's departure start the dominoes tumbling? Will this vast, multiethnic archipelago fall apart? Not likely. A hard look at Indonesia's main candidates for secession reveals that they have little in common with East Timor and even less with each other. The provinces remain Jakarta's to lose. If the capital plays its cards right, curbs the army's abuses, and accommodates legitimate local goals, the center will indeed hold.
Every historical milestone reflects the end as well as the beginning of an era, and since history is continuity in spite of change, so the beginning of an era is never a complete disengagement from the past, either materially or mentally. Such is the case now in Indonesia.
Over two decades, Americans have come to expect dynamic economic growth and relative political stability in East Asia. Until recently, China was the perennial exception, and the Soviets had no regional role to speak of. Today, these judgments are being reexamined. The region is not necessarily in trouble, but it is in ferment, and the future is less sure--for itself and for American interests--than it seemed even a short while ago. Furthermore, the economic and political stirrings are not of a short-term nature; they involve generational and systemic transitions within the region and shifting roles for external actors, including the United States and, now, the Soviet Union.
