Regime Change: U.S. Strategy Through the Prism of 9/11
This impressive study is the best yet of those that outline the dilemmas and choices that face the United States as it confronts hostile states threatening to build weapons of mass destruction. "Rogue" or "outlaw" regimes have long bedeviled American diplomats (and divided Western allies over tactics and strategies). But after September 11, the Bush administration raised the stakes by highlighting the possible transfer of mass-casualty weapons from these "axis of evil" states to terrorist groups -- a threat that turned the Iraq war into the first instance in which forcible regime change was used by a great power to achieve nonproliferation ends. Litwak carefully chronicles the shift in U.S. strategy from a mix of deterrence, engagement, and containment in the pre-9/11 era to an emphasis on regime change subsequently. He offers sensible judgments about the controversies and unresolved policy debates that have followed in the wake of Iraq, emphasizing the limits on the use of force and the importance of nonmilitary prevention strategies. Case studies of the United States' long-running encounters with Iraq, Libya, Iran, and North Korea underscore Litwak's point that strategies must be tailored to the target state. But in general, his favored approach requires giving up the regime-change option and shifting back to a strategy of deterrence and reassurance.
Related
The concepts emerging from the Bush administration's war on terrorism form a neoimperial vision in which the United States arrogates to itself the global role of setting standards, determining threats, and using force. These radical ideas could transform today's world order in a way that the end of the Cold War did not. The administration's approach is fraught with peril and likely to fail. If history is any guide, it will trigger resistance that will leave America in a more hostile and divided world.
This article appears in the Foreign Affairs eBook, "The U.S. vs. al Qaeda: A History of the War on Terror." Now available for purchase.
During the war on terrorism, George W. Bush has shown a split personality on the promotion of democracy abroad. Bush the realist seeks warm ties with dictators who may help in the fight against al Qaeda, while Bush the neo-Reaganite proclaims that democracy is the only true solution to terror. How the administration resolves this tension will define the future of U.S. foreign policy.
Despite what many argue, Arab and Muslim rage at the United States has had very little to do with actual U.S. policies--policies that have been remarkably pro-Arab over the past 50 years. Promoting anti-Americanism is simply the best way Muslim leaders have found to distract their publics from the real problem: internal mismanagement. New U.S. policies or a PR campaign will not change matters.

Sign-up for free weekly updates from ForeignAffairs.com.