Guernica and Total War
The German bombing of the Basque city of Guernica in 1937 raised the same sort of fears of universal vulnerability to complete destruction that nuclear weapons did during the Cold War and mass-casualty terrorism does now. Patterson examines the evidence on what happened at Guernica and how this was reported and caught up in the propaganda battles surrounding the Spanish Civil War. He then locates this episode in the ongoing discussions of the impact of air warfare in a future world war, noting correctly that these debates tended to exaggerate the strategic effectiveness of attacking civilians. The book loses its way in recounting the familiar British debates on airpower, albeit while including some telling quotes from poets and novelists (and some trite observations on contemporary U.S. strategy). In the end, the greatest horrors of war, from Spain to the present day, even taking into account the terrible air raids and the atomic bombs, were not inflicted indirectly from the air but directly on the ground.
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For the first time in a generation, there is real hope for peace in Northern Ireland. A fortunate political constellation in Britain, the United States, and Ireland provided the impetus to make the compromises needed for a viable pact. But the Good Friday Agreement is fragile. It survived its first major challenge, this summer's marching season and its attendant strife, only by a grim kind of Irish luck: a brutal bombing that killed three boys and inspired both unionists and republicans to renew their commitment to the accord. The province's new government will face more such challenges, and its ability to overcome them depends on a few good men.
Americans generally belittle the role of ethnic nationalism in politics. But in fact, it corresponds to some enduring propensities of the human spirit, it is galvanized by modernization, and in one form or another, it will drive global politics for generations to come. Once ethnic nationalism has captured the imagination of groups in a multiethnic society, ethnic disaggregation or partition is often the least bad answer.
Responding to Charles G. Boyd on the Balkan crisis, author Noel Malcolm, professor Norman Cigar, and journalist David Rieff argue the Serbs bear the primary guilt; William E. Odom sees an opportunity that NATO must seize; Boyd replies.

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