Democratic Breakdown and the Decline of the Russian Military
Of the many books and articles detailing the degradation of the once-hulking Soviet military and its muddled place in the politics of today's Russia, this one is the most concise and trenchant. Barany starts by retelling the credulity-straining story of the deceit and incompetence surrounding the sinking of the nuclear submarine Kursk in 2000. That story serves as the touchstone for his account of the military's multidimensional decay (in terms of resources, equipment, training, living standards, and performance). Why have the Russians not done more to repair the mess? Barany's answer is severe and simple (maybe a little too simple): the military has blocked reform and has been able to do so because leaders from Mikhail Gorbachev to Vladimir Putin have, contrary to Soviet tradition, let it into the political arena, and these leaders have done so, particularly Putin, to serve their own (antidemocratic) agendas. This is a very good treatment of the state of the Russian military, along with the politics of reform, but it is oddly, albeit only modestly, marred by sweeping, debatable assertions on basic issues, such as the thrust of Soviet foreign policy and the aims of this or that leader.
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With facts and a touch of fiction, Mikhail Gorbachev recounts the breakup of the Soviet Union and warns the West not to mangle the post-Cold War world.
Will Russia be run by democrats or oligarchs? The signs are worrying. The West would rather not dwell on the extent to which Russia's market is dominated by robber barons and permeated by crime and corruption. Russia's democracy is weak, with unfair election campaigns, a compromised media, and few checks on the presidency. The West cannot afford to let Russia descend into chaos, which might mean losing control of Russia's arsenal of weapons of mass destruction, but its two-faced NATO expansion policy hurts the democrats' chances.
Russia's interests demand good relations with everyone, but older, darker forces tempt it to avenge its fall from superpowerdom. Westernizing democrats govern for now, but ex-communist elites and embittered generals scheme to re invigorate the military and reassert control over the borderlands. Their machinations are creating a fault line across the oil-rich Caucasus and Central Asia. For Russia to neglect its reconstruction to pursue the illusion of power would be a monumental mistake. While the expansion of NATO is misconceived, the West must not encourage Russian hard-liners with unmerited concessions.

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