Can Europe and China Shape a New World Order?
Grant, the director of London's Center for European Reform, argues for a "strategic partnership" between the EU and China to confront global problems that affect them both. He acknowledges the obstacles. With Europe's trade deficit with China at $235 billion, almost as big as the United States' trade deficit with China, Europeans are getting frustrated with China's currency manipulation and dumping of goods. Like the Americans, the Europeans do not approve of China's human rights practices or policy toward Tibet. And they worry about China's foreign policy of supporting dictatorships in Africa, Central Asia, and the Middle East in exchange for raw materials. Still, Grant believes that a strategic partnership with an increasingly responsible China is possible and calls for action in four key areas: climate change, weapons proliferation, Africa, and global governance. That goal may be overly optimistic, but Grant lays out a positive, practical agenda and shows that in some cases, at least, China is creeping toward more of an "international stakeholder" role. Engagement with the EU might well help that process along.
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Forecasts the emergence of an international order based on 'civilian powers', defined as states dependent on economic co-operation, supra-national structures, and primarily economic (rather than military) means of defending the national interest. A discussion of the potential of the FRG and Japan as such powers.
America now faces the prospect of economic conflicts with both Europe and East Asia. The United States and the European Union have already fired the first shots of retaliatory sanctions over their ever-growing trade disputes. On the other side of the world, meanwhile, Asian countries are creating a bloc of their own that could include preferential trade arrangements and an Asian Monetary Fund. These developments could produce a tripolar world and hamper global economic integration. To avert this outcome, the United States must quell its domestic backlash against globalization and reassert its economic leadership in the world. The new Bush administration should make multilateral trade liberalization a top priority -- or it will face unpleasant economic and political consequences as the U.S. and foreign economies slow.
The ruckus over the election of a religious conservative as Turkey's president has exposed the illiberal nature of Turkish secularism -- as well as the pragmatism of the country's reformed Islamists. Preserving democracy in Turkey by keeping the military out of politics will be a tall order, but the future of the Muslim world's most promising democratic experiment is at stake.

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