Persian Dreams: Moscow and Tehran Since the Fall of the Shah
This book details the Iranian-Russian relationship in all its complexity and is utterly timely, given the deep U.S. concern over the prospect of a nuclear Iran and the grief this generates in U.S.-Russian relations at a time when Moscow seems more a part of the problem than a part of any solution.
Given the deep U.S. concern over the prospect of a nuclear Iran and the grief this generates in U.S.-Russian relations at a time when Moscow seems more a part of the problem than a part of any solution, how utterly timely to have a book that details the Iranian-Russian relationship in all its complexity. And, indeed, complex it is, from the intricacies of the two countries' evolving entanglement in the swath of trouble stretching from Tajikistan through Afghanistan and then Azerbaijan to their dueling stakes in Caspian Sea oil and gas. The relationship has a dozen sides, some historical, some distinctly expedient, all of them displaying a rich array of clashing and converging interests. The nuclear relationship serves as a central thread in the account, and it is a remarkably long one, stretching back to the Soviet period and then winding its circuitous way through the Clinton and Bush administrations -- a "push-pull-but-don't-let-go dance."
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Reprints excerpts of the article under title, first published in the FA issue of Jul 1946, noting that it contains "some sage observations that have stood the test of time".
Four years after the Iranian Revolution, three years after the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan and the Carter Doctrine, the Persian Gulf is no longer so much in the news. Many dire predictions were made in the wake of the double crisis of 1979. Some, looking at the collapse of the local security system and the vulnerability of the West's oil supplies to interference, saw in the Soviet military action an imminent military threat to the Gulf and a pattern for future Soviet involvement in this region. Many also doubted that the regime in Iran would last and foresaw a growing Soviet influence in its revolutionary politics.
The "arc of crisis" has been defined as an area stretching from the Indian subcontinent in the east to the Horn of Africa in the west. The Middle East constitutes its central core. Its strategic position is unequalled: it is the last major region of the Free World directly adjacent to the Soviet Union, it holds in its subsoil about three-fourths of the proven and estimated world oil reserves, and it is the locus of one of the most intractable conflicts of the twentieth century: that of Zionism versus Arab nationalism. Moreover, national, economic and territorial conflicts are aggravated by the intrusion of religious passions in an area which was the birthplace of Judaism, Christianity and Islam, and by the exposure, in the twentieth century, to two competing appeals of secular modernization: Western and communist.
