The Great Gamble: The Soviet War in Afghanistan
In this book, Feifer adds remarkable and wrenching texture to the account of how the Soviet war in Afghanistan played a pivotal role both in the Cold War's endgame and in the Soviet Union's last gasps of life.
Because the Soviet war in Afghanistan played a pivotal role both in the Cold War's endgame and in the Soviet Union's last gasps of life, its origins and conduct have been much studied. Feifer, however, adds remarkable and wrenching texture to the account. From his position as a correspondent living in Russia, he has interviewed a wide range of Russian and Afghan participants, from former senior KGB officials and military commanders to war veterans and former mujahideen. As a result, he creates virtual war reportage. The reader feels he or she is there for all the raw brutality, battlefield mistakes, heat, dust, and fear. The larger picture -- the ebb and flow of the war itself, decisions made in Moscow, the role of the Pakistanis, the Saudis, and the Americans -- serves as the frame, but within it, the canvas is of soldierly ingenuity and frailty, the sights of one side's vengeance on the other, the small deals done with the enemy, and the peccadilloes of the war's more flamboyant figures.
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The current situation in Afghanistan is one of protracted war. The duration and character of the war derive directly from the Soviet style of anti-guerrilla warfare.
Since the Soviet Union invaded Afghanistan in December 1979, it has failed to consolidate the rule of its Marxist client in Kabul. Although there are occasional reports that the government of the Democratic Republic of Afghanistan (DRA) has increased its control, events over the last year confirm an overall lack of progress and the growing strength of the Afghan resistance. The Soviet-sponsored regime has made few political gains and its administrative and combat performance has not greatly improved--a record that led to the abrupt resignation of Afghan leader Babrak Karmal on May 4, 1986. The mujahedeen resistance, on the other hand, is more capable than ever, boosted by increasing firepower, operational and political cooperation and international support. It is slowly but steadily evolving into a powerful military force.
The accords were signed in 1988 by Afghanistan and Pakistan, with the USA and USSR as 'states guarantors'. They preclude Pakistani assistance to the Afghan resistance, but do not mention the Soviet involvement other than stating a timetable for troop withdrawals, whilst a voluntary repatriation of refugees is to be effected within a stated period. Gives detailed background to their signature. Charges that Afghanistan has been 'sovietized' so that the regime will not fall apart. Warns of a "repetition of the Ethiopian tragedy" in respect of the refugees. The accords have provided for "the long-term Soviet consolidation of control".

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