Political Risk Analysis: Professor Frank Plantan Jr.

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Dr. Frank Plantan, Jr
International Relations Program.
636 Williams Hall/6305
Tel.: (215) 898-0453
Email: fplantan@sas.upenn.edu
International Relations 250
Political Risk Analysis
Syllabus
Spring 2009

Course Description
Imagine yourself as the chief executive of a major corporation seeking to expand your
business overseas. As you look abroad, you see large markets and a world full of opportunity
for your company. But you also observe a rapidly changing and sometimes threatening global
business environment characterized by political and economic risk and uncertainty. You face
foreign publics who are often angry, hostile, and capricious in their tastes; constantly shifting
political winds, aggressive and unpredictable regulators, potentially unreliable business
partners, economic crises and instability, in addition to the risks of terrorism and political
violence.

How will you cope with these problems? What tools and methodologies will you
employ to forecast these risks? What actions will you take to manage and mitigate the
dangers you face? This course will address political risk forecasting and management
methodologies and techniques. The emphasis on the course is practical and applied. Students
will have the opportunity to apply what they learn in real-world case problems and
assignments. The political risk forecasting, research, and management methods covered will
include Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s Sovereign Ratings Systems, the Delphi Method, The
Prince Model, the BERI Model, The Economist Model, The PRS Model, the IES Energy
Model, Political Risk Insurance, Integrated Risk Management, and Enterprise-Wide Risk
Management...

syllabus_plantan_politicalrisk.pdf