Q&A With Will McCants on al Qaeda

Zawahiri's Game Plan

Ten years after the September 11 attacks, how has al Qaeda changed the religious and political conversation in the Islamic world?

On the one hand, al Qaeda has done immense harm to relations between Muslims and non-Muslims. The 9/11 attacks were designed to provoke the United States and its allies to overreact by invading and occupying Muslim nations, which happened in Iraq and Afghanistan and reinforced the idea that the West wants to subjugate Muslims. The attacks also made Muslim minorities in the West the objects of suspicion. On the other hand, al Qaeda's hostility toward and attacks on Muslims who do not share its views engendered a lot of soul searching in the Islamic world about tolerance and legitimate resistance. Moreover, al Qaeda's failure to achieve its goal of creating Islamic states hostile to the West has bolstered the credibility of conservative Muslims engaged in parliamentary politics.

How do you rate Ayman al-Zawahiri's first few months as the organization's new leader? Has he pulled al Qaeda out of the crisis you described in your article?

Zawahiri has made the best of a very bad situation. All of al Qaeda's franchises and close allies have pledged their allegiance to him, and he regularly issues statements about the uprisings in the Arab world. Nevertheless, al Qaeda is not a player in the uprisings, with the exception Yemen's. It is also still dealing with the fallout from the Abbottabad raid that killed bin Laden because the U.S. government has had even more time to study and exploit the documents its special operations forces captured.

As the Arab Spring continues, how valuable is the al Qaeda brand?

Very few of the revolutionaries are appealing to al Qaeda for help, and all of them understand that inviting it would hurt their cause at a time when they badly need international support. Even al Qaeda has realized that its brand has suffered. According to press reports about the documents captured in the Abbottabad raid, bin Laden worried that the al Qaeda name had been damaged by its attacks on civilians. The recent decision of al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula to operate under the banner of "helpers of the sharia" is further evidence that al Qaeda realizes it has tarnished its own image.

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