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Iran's nuclear program will not live or die because of sanctions. The regime's calculus will not be adjusted because of economic pressure.
Hosni Mubarak professed that Egypt was growing economically and progressing politically. The harsh, hopeless reality behind those fabrications proved to be his undoing. Now the country's future rests with two familiar powers playing very unfamiliar roles: The military and the Muslim Brotherhood. Prepare for another year of struggle.
In an effort to halt Iran's nuclear program, Washington and the West have been ramping up the pressure with sanctions and threats of war. None of it will work. The Green Movement has been vanquished, and the country -- both its leadership and its people -- are poised not for revolution, but more of the same.
Ireland's economic turnaround in the 1980s is generally credited to fiscal measures similar to the ones other European countries are now implementing. But those policies were painful and won't even work this time.
Before the first World War, Greek cities successfully managed their own affairs. Then modernization brought centralization, which paved the way for the current crisis. Now the country needs to get back to its roots.
The drawdown of U.S. and NATO forces in Afghanistan will proceed rapidly through 2014. As a consequence, the mission will change sooner than many people expect, and that means the fledgling Afghan National Army has to take charge of the fight now.
Washington seems to believe that a secular victory in this week's election would be good for U.S. interests, and an Islamist one would be bad. But no matter which party wins, the new Egypt will be less compliant to U.S. demands.
Protests have erupted in Tahrir Square again, but don't expect a second revolution. Egypt's still-popular military rulers have contained the dwindling demonstrations, historic elections are underway, and everyday life in Cairo continues. Still, if the SCAF fails to deliver on its promises to cede power by July, it will face much greater unrest.
Nicaragua's president, Daniel Ortega, is expected to win re-election by a wide margin this weekend. If so, he will continue to build his legacy while Washington looks the other way.
Germany is mired in a counterproductive national debate on integration that threatens to alienate those who are best placed to fix the country's societal ills: educated, skilled immigrant workers and their children.
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