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At this point, it is still too soon to call events in Crimea anything other than a domestically led coup with Russian support. But that could change. If Putin launches a full-scale Russian invasion, he risks provoking battle with the relatively strong Ukrainian military, ethnic Ukrainian militias, and a furious Crimean Tatar minority group.
Ukraine's prime minister resigned on Tuesday. It might have seemed like a perfect opportunity for Ukraine’s three opposition leaders to step in and take his place. Instead, it put them in a difficult situation.
When it comes to Japan, China seems torn. On security issues, it is increasingly hawkish. But on economic ties -- from Japanese imports to Japanese investments -- it has become downright dovish. At the heart of China’s reversal is the economic reality that China needs Japan just as much as Japan needs China.
The demonstrators’ slogan that “Ukraine is Europe!” signifies much more than a desire to join the EU. For them, as for most Ukrainians, Europe is a symbol of democracy, national dignity, human rights, and freedom -- everything they believe, correctly, the Yanukovych regime opposes.
Yanukovych's decision to snub the EU has made his job a lot harder. Hundreds of thousands of Ukrainian citizens have taken to the streets in support of European values, his own political base has lost trust in him, and Russia may soon decide it prefers to work with a less toxic partner. The EU might just come out of all of this a winner.
The debate over the merits of the interim nuclear agreement with Iran should turn on whether enhanced sanctions could break Iran’s will, if not lead to regime change. If that possibility seams remote, then the interim agreement and what is likely to follow will be good deals in an imperfect world.
There is some basis to the argument that the deal with Iran has implicitly recognized the country as a threshold nuclear power. Here's why that isn't a problem.
During negotiations over a new security pact, Kabul demanded that Washington apologize for its military’s bad behavior. Such apologies are generally unnecessary and sometimes even counterproductive. Still, reconciliation requires some acknowledgement of past harm.
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