Background on the News - 2005-10-12

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October 12, 2005

The Last Pandemic — and the Next One









In the Blogs...

Last week's announcement that the 1918 influenza pandemic was caused by a virus that jumped from birds to humans has increased fears that another avian flu crisis might be looming. The odds that the H5N1 virus that has already killed countless birds and several humans in Southeast Asia recently will mutate into a global destroyer are unknown. What is known — as Michael Osterholm pointed out in Foreign Affairs a few months ago — is how unprepared the world actually is for handling such a disaster, and what governments need to do now to improve their populations' chances for survival.


In the Current Issue of Foreign Affairs

The complete text of selected essays and of all the book reviews from the September/October issue can be found on the Foreign Affairs Web site. Currently the following essays are available in their full text:

 

How to Win in Iraq

Andrew F. Krepinevich, Jr.

Read the essay that's been hailed by New York Times columnist David Brooks and appraised on blogs by:

Because they lack a coherent strategy, U.S. forces in Iraq have failed to defeat the insurgency or improve security. Winning will require a new approach to counterinsurgency, one that focuses on providing security to Iraqis rather than hunting down insurgents. And it will take at least a decade.

 

China's Search for Stability with America

Wang Jisi

No country can affect China's fortunes more directly than the United States. Many potential flashpoints — such as Taiwan, Japan, and North Korea — remain, and true friendship between Washington and Beijing is unlikely. But their interests have grown so intertwined that cooperation is the best way to serve both countries.

 

Can Democracy Stop Terrorism?

F. Gregory Gause III

The Bush administration contends that the push for democracy in the Muslim world will improve U.S. security. But this premise is faulty: there is no evidence that democracy reduces terrorism. Indeed, a democratic Middle East would probably result in Islamist governments unwilling to cooperate with Washington.

 

In China's Own Eyes

Bruce Gilley

The Man Who Changed China, a state-sanctioned portrait of Jiang Zemin, reflects the image that China's new leaders want their people to see: pragmatic, moderate, and above politics. The vision, however, does not often match reality.


 

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Previously in Background on the News


 

Thermidor in Ukraine?
September 28, 2005
The recent dissolution of the government in Ukraine has prompted fears that President Viktor Yushchenko might be straying from the precepts of the Orange Revolution he helped lead last year. . . . Read more

 

Last Responders
September 14, 2005
Hurricane Katrina's ravages in the Gulf Coast earlier this month have left many foreign policy experts questioning the Department of Homeland Security's capacity to prevent or limit the damages of a large-scale terrorist attack on the United States. . . . Read more

 

Constituting Iraq
August 31, 2005
If Iraq's elections last January were inspiring, the wrangling over the drafting of its constitution has been disquieting. After months of negotiations, Sunni leaders rejected the charter last week and are now calling on their followers throughout the country to vote against it in a planned mid-October referendum. . . . Read more

 

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Foreign Affairs
Bestsellers
For October 2005

The topselling books on international affairs based on national sales at Barnes & Noble stores and barnesandnoble.com during September 2005.

  1. The World Is Flat
    Thomas L. Friedman
  2. Collapse
    Jared Diamond
  3. The Case for Peace
    Alan Dershowitz

Complete list

The Year in Books

Nicolas van de Walle / Africa

Each month a member of our panel of book reviewers recommends the best books discussed in Foreign Affairs in the past year. For October 2005, Nicolas van de Walle gives his picks for the best books on Africa.. Read

Most Popular Article Reprints

Purchased online at foreignaffairs.org during September 2005

1. China's "Peaceful Rise" to Great-Power Status by Zheng Bijian (September/October 2005)

2. Reflection: Lessons from German History by Fritz Stern (May/June 2005)

3. How to Help Poor Countries by Nancy Birdsall, Dani Rodrik, and Arvind Subramanian (July/August 2005)

4. Taming American Power by Stephen M. Walt (September/October 2005)

5. Development and Democracy by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita and George W. Downs (September/October 2005)

6. The Human-Animal Link by William B. Karesh and Robert A. Cook (July/August 2005)

7. Understanding China by Kishore Mahbubani (September/October 2005)

8. China's Global Hunt for Energy by David Zweig and Bi Jianhai (September/October 2005)

9. How to Rebuild Africa by Stephen Ellis (September/October 2005)

10. U.S. Power and Strategy After Iraq by Joseph S. Nye, Jr. (July/August 2003)

 

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