February 23, 2005
Taking on Tehran
On newsstands March 1, the March/April 2005 issue of Foreign Affairs features an essay by Kenneth Pollack and Ray Takeyh proposing a comprehensive package of threats and rewards to steer Iran off the nuclear path.
The complete text of selected essays and all the book reviews from this issue are available on the Foreign Affairs Web site — look for the label "full text" in the listing below. You may still receive this issue by mail if you subscribe to Foreign Affairs by March 31, 2005.
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COMMENTS
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The Overstretch Myth
David H. Levey and Stuart S. Brown
The United States' current account deficit and foreign debt are not dire threats to its global position, as would-be Cassandras warn. U.S. power is firmly grounded on economic superiority and financial stability that will not end soon. FULL TEXT
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Mind the Gap
Robert C. Pozen
With the EU's addition of ten new members and a slowdown in U.S. productivity growth, Europe has a chance to overtake the U.S. economy. To actually do so, however, it must boost its competitiveness with some much-needed reforms. 500-WORD PREVIEW
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All the Presidents' Men
Michael Fullilove
In its first term, the Bush administration all but ignored a powerful diplomatic tool that had served Washington well in the past: the special envoy. With the State Department now under new management, it should start dispatching emissaries again. 500-WORD PREVIEW
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ESSAYS
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Taking on Tehran
Kenneth Pollack and Ray Takeyh
If Washington wants to derail Iran's nuclear program, it must take advantage of a split in Tehran between hard-liners, who care mostly about security, and pragmatists, who want to fix Iran's ailing economy. By promising strong rewards for compliance and severe penalties for defiance, Washington can strengthen the pragmatists' case that Tehran should choose butter over bombs. FULL TEXT
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Ukraine's Orange Revolution
Adrian Karatnycky
The electoral triumph of opposition leader Viktor Yushchenko and the victory of the Ukrainian people over their country's corrupt leadership represent a new landmark in the postcommunist history of eastern Europe, a seismic shift Westward in the geopolitics of the region. But what will come next for the new president — and the rest of the former Soviet Union? 500-WORD PREVIEW
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Preventing a War Over Taiwan
Kenneth Lieberthal
Although neither China nor Taiwan wants war, both pursue policies that raise the risk of bloodshed: the first by issuing vague warnings, the second by testing their limits. To stabilize the situation, the Bush administration should help broker a temporary agreement under which Taipei would put off independence and Beijing would stop threatening to attack. 500-WORD PREVIEW
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Sinking Globalization
Niall Ferguson
Could globalization collapse? It may seem unlikely today. Yet despite many warnings, people were shocked the last time globalization crumbled, with the onslaught of World War I. Like today, that period was marked by imperial overstretch, great-power rivalry, unstable alliances, rogue regimes, and terrorist organizations. And the world is no better prepared for calamity now. 500-WORD PREVIEW
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The Development Challenge
Jeffrey D. Sachs
As a matter of policy, Washington is committed to supporting development in impoverished countries, and most Americans believe that it is following through. In fact, U.S. assistance for the world's poorest countries is utterly inadequate. Only a new international development strategy can rectify the situation. Continued failure will be too expensive, for the United States and the world. 500-WORD PREVIEW
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The Right Way to Promote Arab Reform
Steven A. Cook
If President Bush hopes to make good on his promise to bring democracy to the Arab world, he must rethink U.S. strategy, which overemphasizes civil society and economic development. Neither has caused much political liberalization in the Middle East, nor have more punitive measures. To promote Arab democracy, Washington needs a new approach: offering financial incentives for political reform. FULL TEXT
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The Struggle to Transform the Military
Max Boot
The fighting in Iraq has exposed the limits of Donald Rumsfeld's transformation agenda. The U.S. military remains underprepared for dealing with guerrillas, and such unconventional threats will grow in coming years. The next stage of military transformation must focus on training large numbers of infantry for nation building and irregular warfare — and Washington must make that task a top priority. 500-WORD PREVIEW
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Outsourcing War
P. W. Singer
Recent scandals in Iraq and elsewhere have shone unaccustomed light on an explosive trend: the growth of private military contractors. Such firms allow governments to accomplish public ends through private means and without much oversight. This lack of scrutiny may be expedient, but it is not necessarily good for democracy. Privatization can benefit everyone, but only if done in the right way. 500-WORD PREVIEW
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BOOK REVIEWS
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The Choice
Donald Kennedy
Jared Diamond's Collapse is a catalog of past environmental ruin. But despite the abundance of bad news, its message is one of cautious optimism: if modern society can learn from the failures of its predecessors, it can avoid their fate. FULL TEXT
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Recent Books
Each issue of Foreign Affairs includes dozens of capsule reviews of recently published books in the fields of international relations, diplomatic and military history, and related disciplines. Written by the specialists on our distinguished book review panel, thousands of capsule book reviews (dating back to 1973) are available in their full text on the Foreign Affairs Web site. This month:
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