Center Stage for the 21st Century
Already the world’s preeminent energy and trade interstate seaway, the Indian Ocean will matter even more as India and China enter into a dynamic great-power rivalry in these waters.
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The Defense Department's new report on East Asia reads as if the Cold War is ongoing. For Japan, the report signals U.S. acceptance of its ruinous trade deficits. For other Asian nations, it signals the hollowness of American superpower pretensions. The report masks the failure of the Clinton administration's trade policy. By insisting Japan remain a U.S. protectorate, Washington encourages Tokyo's reactionaries. The real threat to Asian security is not China but U.S. distrust of Japan as a true ally. Cold War military power is irrelevant to the economic challenges posed by East Asia's dynamism. Someone should tell the Pentagon.
The thirteenth Dalai Lama, Thupten Gyatso, the incarnation of Tibet's patron deity, Chenresi, "the Buddha of mercy," passed on to "the Honorable Field" in 1933, there to await rebirth as the present Dalai Lama in 1935. Toward the end of his long rule he was gravely worried by the communist suppression of Lamaist Buddhism in Mongolia, which for almost four hundred years had been dominated by the Tibetan form of religion. In creating a Mongolian nation on the Soviet pattern in the 1920s and early 1930s, Mongolian Communists destroyed almost all the monasteries which regarded the Dalai Lama in Lhasa as their spiritual leader, reducing organized religion to a few showpiece relics. The Dalai Lama warned his people that "unless we can guard our own country, it will now happen that the Dalai and Panchen Lamas, the Father and the Son, the Holders of the Faith, the glorious Rebirths, will be broken down and left without a name . . . the officers of the state, ecclesiastical and secular, will find their lands seized and their other property confiscated, and they themselves made to serve their enemies, or wander about the country as beggars do. All beings will be sunk in great hardship and in overpowering fear; the days and the nights will drag on slowly in suffering."
Economic activity between Africa and Asia, especially China and India, is booming like never before. If the problems and imbalances this sometimes creates are managed well, this expanding engagement could be an unprecedented opportunity for Africa's growth and for its integration into the global economy.

Comments
Rivalry in the Indian Ocean
I am very impressed with the quality and depth of the article. Congratulation to the author Robert Kaplan
Rivalry in the Indian Ocean
Excellent analysis !
Re: Robert Kaplan and the Indian Ocean
Dear Robert,
I first commend your scholarship. We might well be at an inflexion point in the world of military power and its most efficacious projection.
I would posit that the Iraq war and its subsequent constabulary footprint was a throwback to a colonial era. In the c21st, you cannot project such a military footprint. At another level, the war was responsible for an enormous transfer of wealth from the Consumers of Crude Oil to the Producers [The US's putative enemies - Chavez only got a voice because of the rally in Crude, for example] and we are now wrestling with the wreckage of that, in the Global Economy.
The point you are making about Maritime power is a far sighted one. The Military footprint is under the radar and over the horizon and that I think that in itself is of major strategic advantage. And a tilt or bias in that direction would be in the national interest.
The intuitive part about Full Spectrum Dominance is that it can only be effected by the appearance of not dominating and I think your conclusion about the US in the Indian Ocean, an honest Broker if you will, is a signifier for how the US charts a new course in this patently more multi polar world.
With regard to the Indian Ocean, I had not thought of the topography and the picture in the way you had so vividly described it. Surely, this makes Somalia central to the equation, in a very interesting way?
Aly-Khan Satchu
http://www.rich.co.ke/rctools/wrapup.php
great article by Robert
great article by Robert Kaplan, the geopolitical tensions and on occasions co-operations will shape the political landscape of the developed world in years to come, in my view.
Bilateral relations to benefit both
Somalia is a fire-cracker that keeps the parties amused. The East is emerging to be bipolar, with communist China and democratic India at opposing sides.
Though unlike the Cold War, China and India are ancient civilizations with historic ties and friendships between peoples. These nations respect, admire and share each others philosophies and face common enemies to development in terrorism, over-population and environmental degradation.
Also, due to geographic proximity, attempts to destabilize the other will only prove fatal to the propagator as is so apparent with Pakistan today.
Coupled with a vigorous competition in diverse arenas like oil, global trade, outer-space etc. and different political ideologies, this love-hate, dog-eat-dog relationship stands only to benefit these nations immensely through growth catalyzed by competition and security ensured by fear and friendship.
Center Stage for 21st Century
Mr Rbert D . Kaplan
I am so impressed with your this article on Indian ocean that i immidiately feel like meeting you but it is not possible. personal presence is always best way of Salutation,but finding it impossible i am doing it through these words. The Grasp of the subject and the immense knowledge you have put in this article gives me a feeling as if I am in the sea of Knowledge. Instead of naming the article as Center stage for the 21st century the name should be the Knowledge sea of Indian ocean.The depth of the subject is so much that single paragraph of your article can be made into a full essay.If the policy makers in Pentagon and CIA can understand this article, I am sure there will be no doubt left any more that India and USA need to take a leadership role to shape the balanced control of Indian ocean in Future. Hope Present Political Administration in USA also Listens to the Voice of GOD throgh your Article. It is not that GOD will come and tell Barack Obama Administration to do so ,it is voice of the learned souls in intellectuals like you , whose articles needs to be acted upon.
Thanks for such a great article.
hats off to you Dear Mr. Kaplan
I am sure there
I am sure there will be no doubt left any more that India and USA need to take a leadership role to shape the balanced control of Indian ocean in Future. Hope Present Political Administration in USA also Listens to the Voice of GOD throgh your Article. It is not that GOD will come and tell Barack Obama Administration to do so ,it is voice of the learned souls in intellectuals like you , whose articles needs to be acted upon.
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With regard to the Indian
With regard to the Indian Ocean, I had not thought of the topography and the picture in the way you had so vividly described it. Surely, this makes Somalia central to the equation, in a very interesting way?
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The article actually discuss
The article actually discuss in depth about the future trends in the world's huge economic change over. What to be expected as the two upcoming economic giants take control over the world economic.
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hese nations respect, admire
hese nations respect, admire and share each others philosophies and face common enemies to development in terrorism, over-population and environmental degradation.
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